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Prediction markets for Key Democrats

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5110

196

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.37%chance

222338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1439

697

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.98%chance

6528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

654

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.05%chance

9490

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1380

807

Is Anthropic woke?

Feb 26, 1:34 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

83.78%chance

9462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

227

44

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

May 20, 9:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.28%chance

6390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

182

55

Who will be the next Democratic candidate for 2028?

May 31, 7:02 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

6125

OptionProbability

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Josh Shapiro

Andy Beshear

Pete Buttigieg

34

26

22

4

4

4

4

4

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