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Prediction markets for Key Democrats

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.38%chance

176141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5347

187

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63%chance

202212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1307

768

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.9%chance

9484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

804

Is Anthropic woke?

Feb 26, 1:34 AMJul 1, 4:59 AM

82.72%chance

8390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

219

46

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.97%chance

4278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1278

782

Who will be elected Federal Leader of South Africa's Democratic Alliance (DA)?

Feb 15, 8:36 PMApr 10, 11:59 PM

222

OptionProbability

Ashor Sarupen

Other

Geordin Hill-Lewis

Solly Msimanga

Chris Pappas

Siviwe Gwarube

26

26

14

12

12

12

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