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Prediction markets for Key Democrats

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7404

135

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77.1%chance

273066

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1838

546

Will the Democratic Nominee in 2028 say “genocide”?

Jun 28, 2:15 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

36.64%chance

131481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3856

2365

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.16%chance

71278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2278

439

Who will do better in Florida: Nixon or Jolly?

Aug 23, 9:34 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

51020

OptionProbability

David Jolly

Angie Nixon

70

30

Klingbeil steps down as SPD leader before the end of 2026

Aug 23, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.16%chance

10752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1273

785

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

May 20, 9:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33%chance

16603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

918

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?

Aug 5, 5:54 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

66.45%chance

21504

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

67

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?

Aug 10, 10:21 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

68%chance

11352

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

87

Who will be the next Democratic candidate for 2028?

May 31, 7:02 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

6125

OptionProbability

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Gretchen Whitmer

Josh Shapiro

Andy Beshear

Pete Buttigieg

34

26

22

4

4

4

4

4

Will Democratic candidate Josh Turek win Dubuque County in the IA-SEN election?

Sep 17, 3:00 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

75.45%chance

3107

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

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