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Prediction markets for Key Democrats

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job loss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.52%chance

3826421

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1294

776

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7404

135

Will the Democratic Nominee in 2028 say “genocide”?

Jun 28, 2:15 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

36.64%chance

131481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3856

2365

Will Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?

Mar 18, 10:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.16%chance

71278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2278

439

Klingbeil steps down as SPD leader before the end of 2026

Aug 23, 11:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.36%chance

10802

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1323

756

Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?

May 20, 9:00 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33%chance

16603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

70

Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?

Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1137

918

Who will be the next Democratic candidate for 2028?

May 31, 7:02 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

8414

OptionProbability

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Andy Beshear

Pete Buttigieg

Gretchen Whitmer

48

15

15

6

5

5

5

1

Will an "AGI insider" class accept the political disempowerment of everyone else?

Aug 8, 9:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.65%chance

450

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

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