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Prediction markets for Kill Security

Will Google provide security and Android version updates for the Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro until October 2030?

Oct 7, 5:31 AMOct 1, 1:59 PM

73%chance

3711557

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1443

738

Assembly of Experts hit by US or Israeli attack in 2026 and at least one cleric dies

Mar 2, 4:43 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.81%chance

279331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1399

715

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be shown alive on video between March 8th and April 1, 2026?

Mar 9, 10:28 PMApr 1, 12:00 AM

21.67%chance

518502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1901

526

How many Iranians will be killed by it's regime in 2026?

Jan 11, 12:53 PMJan 12, 2:59 AM

466959

OptionProbability

40000+

20000-39999

10000-19999

6000-9999

3000 - 5999

2000- 2999

0 - 1999

45

27

14

7

5

1

0

Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?

Apr 5, 1:52 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

13.75%chance

371825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

250

40

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

201078

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

883

will trump be assasinated in 2026

Feb 28, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.12%chance

13963

OptionVotes

YES

NO

424

77

Will donald trump strike nigeria again

Dec 27, 6:20 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

57.73%chance

14401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Civil War in Iran in 2026?

Jan 13, 1:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27%chance

16338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

819

Will the US deploy ground groups to Iran by…?

Mar 5, 8:18 AMDec 31, 8:17 AM

6191

OptionProbability

Before Dec 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Sep 2026

Before Oct 2026

Before Nov 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before May 2026

Before Apr 2026

83

76

76

76

76

76

64

56

25

Will FIFA cancel the soccer matches in Jalisco?

Feb 23, 5:54 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

39.87%chance

12177

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

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