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Prediction markets for Kill Security

Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?

May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

39.58%chance

7634311

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1236

809

Will Google provide security and Android version updates for the Pixel 8 and Pixel 8 Pro until October 2030?

Oct 7, 5:31 AMOct 1, 1:59 PM

72.59%chance

357380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1425

745

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

466318

OptionProbability

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

Other (10m+ deaths)

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

Worldwide Pandemic

29

29

27

8

8

7

4

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy survive 2025?

Jun 6, 10:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

94.81%chance

335487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4274

234

Will Donald Trump be assassinated before the end of his presidency?

Apr 5, 1:52 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

12.58%chance

341678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

38

ICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2025?

Nov 2, 6:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.26%chance

151230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

313

32

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2035?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

35.26%chance

191028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

830

Will the US have state-sanctioned death squads by Jan 20th 2029?

Apr 27, 1:34 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

15%chance

17833

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Zelenskyy dies by end of 2026?

Nov 17, 1:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.6%chance

7225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

41

Will a war resulting in over one million fatalities within one year occur before 2030?

Jun 1, 6:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

25.08%chance

7199

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

106

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