KIND News

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?

Feb 11, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

93.93%chance

7512299

OptionVotes

YES

6783

271

San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030

Jan 15, 9:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

36%chance

348496

OptionVotes

YES

1333

750

What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?

Mar 23, 5:27 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

563720

OptionProbability

First Woman

Second Black

First Jewish

First Asian

First Hispanic

First (openly) Atheist

First (openly) LGBTQ

First 85 Year Old

First Native

First Arab

First Muslim

What kind of paid subscription service will be offered by Manifold before 2030?

Jan 28, 8:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

261657

OptionProbability

Paid subscription to get extra boost on your markets

Paid subscription to get cosmetics on your avatar/markets

Paid subscription to get cheaper question creation

Paid subscription to get larger/faster loans

Paid subscription to get priority/exclusive matches in match marking on Manifold.love

Paid subscription to get news feed provided by Manifold

If we discover time travel, what kind will it be?

Jul 7, 11:56 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

311112

OptionProbability

Multiverse

Fixed timeline

Other

Dynamic timeline

What will the first metropolitan area to live up to some kind of selfgoverning/libertarian dream? before 2035

Sep 26, 5:15 AMOct 3, 6:59 AM

14886

OptionProbability

Prospera

There won't be one

Praxis

Other

Neom

Akon City

San Francisco

Solano county/Flannery Associates city

If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?

Feb 24, 7:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22799

OptionProbability

Microbial life (spectroscopic or mineral signatures of life in the solar system or beyond)

Completely unspecified (US government confidently asserts aliens exist but provide no further information)

UFOs (sightings, disclosures)

Alien technology (extrasolar objects, piece of space junk found on Earth, ancient alien relics)

SETI (radio signals received from afar)

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

48.51%chance

18772

OptionVotes

YES

340

Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?

Apr 3, 3:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.62%chance

15703

OptionVotes

YES

1002

833

Will the EA forum support users estimating values in posts and then supplying some kind of median, by 2030?

Oct 3, 10:37 PMDec 1, 11:59 PM

45.63%chance

13471

OptionVotes

YES

1165

825

Will there be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in 5 years?

Jun 11, 5:08 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

71.07%chance

8225

OptionVotes

YES

157

Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?

Feb 7, 1:48 PMFeb 8, 6:59 AM

62%chance

12116

OptionVotes

YES

172

133

KIND News

Prediction markets for KIND

Prediction markets for KIND

Prediction markets for KIND

Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce still be in a relationship of some kind at EOY 2026?

San Francisco gets some kind of congestion zone pricing system by mid 2030

What kind of presidents will we have by 2040?

What kind of paid subscription service will be offered by Manifold before 2030?

If we discover time travel, what kind will it be?

What will the first metropolitan area to live up to some kind of selfgoverning/libertarian dream? before 2035

If aliens are "confirmed" by the US in 2026, which kind of aliens will they be?

Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?

Will some kind of "9/11 but with ships" event happen by the end of 2030?

Will the EA forum support users estimating values in posts and then supplying some kind of median, by 2030?

Will there be more software engineers (the kind that write code, e.g. Python or C or JavaScript code) in 5 years?

Will I receive any kind of gene therapy created using CRISPR before I die?

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