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Prediction markets for Korean

Johnny Somali actually serves 30+ days sentence in a South Korean Jail/prison/physical confinement, through mid 2027

Mar 7, 6:13 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

90.33%chance

52498

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3056

327

Will Korean reunification be complete by 2031?

Oct 4, 5:53 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.07%chance

281543

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2259

768

Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?

Dec 2, 2:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.89%chance

21947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

936

Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ?

Aug 2, 3:37 AMOct 9, 11:32 PM

66.21%chance

17947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1315

766

Will the next North Korean nuclear weapon test be on a sunny morning?

Nov 18, 12:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78%chance

16422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1125

952

Who will win the 2027 South Korean presidential election?

Feb 6, 1:38 AMMay 11, 7:00 AM

8418

OptionProbability

No one

Other

Lee Jae-myung (이재명)

85

10

5

Will Korean reunification be complete by 2045?

Feb 16, 6:44 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

22.01%chance

14343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1133

949

Will the Korean War End During Trump's Presidency?

Jan 25, 1:28 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

16.7%chance

6250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

45

Will Korean reunification be complete by 2060?

Jun 26, 8:54 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

38.74%chance

13219

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

967

Will North and South Korea be unified under a single Korean government by the end of the century?

Mar 20, 4:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.28%chance

493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

127

Will a Korean win a Nobel Prize in one of the science categories in 2025 or 2026?

Nov 26, 5:01 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM

24.62%chance

375

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Are Korean and Japanese languages genetically related? (Resolves to 2050 consensus.)

Jul 19, 4:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

28.14%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

85

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