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Prediction markets for Korean

Will Korean reunification be complete by 2031?

Oct 4, 5:53 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7.15%chance

292043

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2759

725

How many North Korean defectors will there be in 2026?

May 7, 2:05 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

51394

OptionProbability

Above 50

Above 100

Above 150

Above 200

Above 250

Above 500

Above 1,000

Above 1,500

Above 2,000

Above 2,500

93

87

83

30

8

3

1

1

1

1

Will the South Korean total fertility rate exceed 2.0 at any point before 2051?

Dec 2, 2:48 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

13.89%chance

21947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

985

936

Can Korean scientists get Nobel prize by 2035 ?

Aug 2, 3:37 AMOct 9, 11:32 PM

66.21%chance

17947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1315

766

Will Korean reunification be complete by 2045?

Feb 16, 6:44 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

17.77%chance

16609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1383

888

Will Korean reunification be complete by 2060?

Jun 26, 8:54 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

30.56%chance

15485

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1286

835

Will the next North Korean nuclear weapon test be on a sunny morning?

Nov 18, 12:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78%chance

16422

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1125

952

Will the Korean War End During Trump's Presidency?

Jan 25, 1:28 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

16.7%chance

6250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

45

Will the Korean stock market hit an all time high within 6 months?

Jul 9, 10:05 PMJan 8, 8:03 PM

87.26%chance

8200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

262

38

Will North and South Korea be unified under a single Korean government by the end of the century?

Mar 20, 4:19 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43.28%chance

493

OptionVotes

YES

NO

155

127

Are Korean and Japanese languages genetically related? (Resolves to 2050 consensus.)

Jul 19, 4:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

28.14%chance

453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

152

85

Will a Korean win a Nobel prize in one of the science categories in 2025, 2026, or 2027?

Dec 23, 8:05 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM

40.98%chance

220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

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