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Prediction markets for La Poste

Attempt on Candace Owens' life before end of 2026?

Nov 24, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.74%chance

152839

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2506

399

The first human to be declared “immortal” will be from which generation?

Dec 10, 9:08 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

372082

OptionProbability

Other

Zoomer

Alpha

Millennial

Gamma

Beta

67

9

9

6

5

4

Who will be the next Republican candidate for 2028?

May 31, 2:08 AMJul 1, 4:00 PM

121423

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Marco Rubio

Ron DeSantis

Ted Cruz

Donald Trump Jr.

Rand Paul

Nikki Haley

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tim Scott

35

26

22

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

Will Europe fall before Bitcoin?

Dec 12, 7:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.2%chance

8669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

455

What will be the established name for the phenomenon of AI-driven job loss?

Jun 1, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:53 PM

8306

OptionProbability

No convergence on a term by EOY 2027

The Jobpocalypse

Other

AI job displacement

The Great Automation

Jobquake(s)

40

28

24

4

2

2

What will be the established name for AI-fueled psychosis/acute mental illness/delusional behavior?

May 7, 8:59 PMJan 1, 9:15 PM

10250

OptionProbability

No established term by EOY 2026

AI-induced psychosis

AI parasitism

Other

Cyberpsychosis

ChatGPT-induced psychosis

Sycophancy Syndrome

Simulacra Syndrome

Promptosis

To Be "Glazed"

44

33

5

5

3

2

2

2

2

2

Who will take over Messi’s #10 shirt for Argentina?

Oct 1, 12:53 AMJan 1, 12:50 AM

8162

OptionProbability

Nico Paz

Enzo Fernández

Lautaro Martínez

Julián Álvarez

Other

Cuti Romero

36

18

14

14

14

3

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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