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LA Times News

Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?

Jul 14, 4:30 AMNov 4, 3:00 PM

158164372

OptionProbability

Karen Bass

Nithya Raman

Spencer Pratt

Rick Caruso

Asaad Alnajjar

Vincent Wali

Austin Beutner

Adam Miller

Rae Huang

Adam Jeffrey Carmichael

Tish Hyman

Other

61

37

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Pacific Coast Highway: can it be driven from SF to LA on these days? (CA Route 1 closures/washouts/fires), til 2030

Jan 9, 9:03 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

96156

OptionProbability

March 1 2026

May 1 2026

July 1 2026

Jan 1 2027

July 1 2027

July 1 2028

Jan 1 2028

Jan 1 2029

July 1 2029

Sep 1 2025

Jan 1 2026

Dec 1 2025

August 1 2025

July 1 2025

March 1 2025

June 1 2025

83

82

82

80

80

74

63

63

63

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

"Shangri-La diet" theory becomes widely accepted by scientists before 2030.

Nov 30, 9:36 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

8.78%chance

193924

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

945

Attempt on Candace Owens' life before end of 2026?

Nov 24, 7:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.74%chance

142820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2505

399

The first human to be declared “immortal” will be from which generation?

Dec 10, 9:08 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

372082

OptionProbability

Other

Zoomer

Alpha

Millennial

Gamma

Beta

67

9

9

6

5

4

Video generation model solves Sudoku puzzles by EOY 2026?

Sep 28, 6:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.94%chance

171993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1321

100

Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050?

Jun 1, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.91%chance

241925

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2299

435

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

68.62%chance

211582

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1331

784

US Senate 2026 """Safe""" Parlay

Feb 28, 12:45 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

42%chance

11399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

141

25

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 3000 t?

Mar 30, 9:15 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

75.31%chance

3134

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

57

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending September 2026 exceed 1500 t?

Mar 30, 9:14 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

76.78%chance

2105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Serra Verde MREC production for the 6 months ending March 2027 exceed 5500 t?

Mar 30, 9:16 PMJun 30, 4:00 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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