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Prediction markets for Labour Party
Will Keir Starmer lead the Labour party into the next General Election?
Jan 6, 4:28 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
40%chance
5514278
OptionVotes
1225
816
Will the Scottish Labour Party be the second largest party in Holyrood after the next election?
May 17, 5:42 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM
47.31%chance
219695
OptionVotes
1232
723
OptionProbability
59
17
13
10
2
Will Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Jan 24, 6:49 AMOct 14, 11:00 AM
72.03%chance
212874
OptionVotes
1705
426
Will any Labour MP defect to the Green Party before 2026?
Oct 17, 3:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5%chance
222035
OptionVotes
436
23
Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?
Feb 13, 5:04 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
59.89%chance
301557
OptionVotes
1363
640
OptionProbability
25
13
10
9
9
8
7
6
4
4
1
1
1
1
0
OptionProbability
42
10
8
7
6
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
OptionProbability
51
17
9
9
9
6
Will Sadiq Khan be nominated as a candidate for the Labour Party leadership before 2030?
Dec 20, 11:11 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
31%chance
3106
OptionVotes
149
67
If not Labour, Reform or Conservatives, which party will the UK PM be from after the next election?
Dec 6, 1:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
378
OptionProbability
67
15
12
6
OptionProbability
45
45