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Large Cap News
Prediction markets for Large Cap
Prediction markets for Large Cap
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
Oct 4, 11:38 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
69%
chance
98
22000
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1962
18
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before 2030?
Oct 1, 5:01 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
83%
chance
53
10298
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1690
76
Will an international pause on large AI training runs be in effect on Jan 1, 2028?
Dec 21, 3:29 PM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
30.03%
chance
23
1187
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1093
187
Will the ARC AGI Grand Prize be claimed before January 2027?
Aug 1, 4:23 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
70%
chance
9
577
Option
Votes
NO
YES
164
49
"Large models aren’t more capable in the long run if we can iterate faster on small models" within five years
May 4, 7:11 PM
May 4, 7:05 PM
8%
chance
4
229
Option
Votes
YES
NO
301
24
Will EFA out perform SPY in 2026?
Dec 28, 2:59 AM
Jan 2, 2:56 AM
54.75%
chance
2
32
Option
Votes
NO
YES
110
91
Will China announce a nationwide policy to materially slow frontier AI development before December 31, 2027
Oct 3, 12:33 AM
Dec 30, 11:59 PM
13%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
I'm about to turn 24 soon. Induce existential crisis vibes and get paid mana.
Jan 5, 11:54 AM
0
0
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