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Prediction markets for Last Energy
[MANA BOUNTY + USD BOUNTY] Will Manifold help me land a role I'm happy with by EOY 2025?
Jul 5, 12:41 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
20.57%chance
3612418
OptionVotes
19650
5089
When will power transmission from orbit to surface be first demonstrated?
May 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
222983
OptionProbability
59
55
52
50
49
44
35
25
10
5
0
Tyler Cowen's claims about reading and travel continue to be accepted through mid 2028
Dec 18, 4:41 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM
97.57%chance
20950
OptionVotes
909
49
Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?
May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM
37.78%chance
11875
OptionVotes
1283
779
Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?
Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
57.38%chance
11511
OptionVotes
1160
862
Will the 12-month inflation rate announced in January 2026 be lower or equal than 3.0%
Nov 15, 11:55 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
40.58%chance
4310
OptionVotes
1210
826
Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-07-04?
Aug 13, 10:38 PMJul 8, 11:59 PM
2220
OptionProbability
50
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
41
34
Will 10% of US electric vehicles have Vehicle-to-Grid connectivity on 2032-02-27?
Feb 27, 10:59 AMFeb 27, 11:59 PM
42.3%chance
330
OptionVotes
114
105
Which DoE Reactor Pilot Program reactors will achieve criticality by 2026-12-31?
Aug 13, 10:43 PMJan 7, 11:59 PM
229
OptionProbability
55
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45