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Prediction markets for Latin America

Will the majority of Western democracies cease to be de facto democratic by 2034?

Jun 11, 5:42 AMMar 1, 12:59 PM

5.2%chance

928379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2389

1500

Pink Tide: Will leftists still govern a majority of Latin American countries at the end of 2026?

Dec 4, 2:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.97%chance

847562

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4014

157

Will a Global South pavilion win the Golden Lion at Venice 2026?

Feb 16, 11:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.41%chance

71886

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2656

376

US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028?

Apr 16, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.05%chance

81430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2131

469

When will Madoka Magica: Walpurgis no Kaiten be officially released in the United States?

Sep 6, 3:55 AMApr 1, 11:59 PM

7967

OptionProbability

Before Feb 2027

Before Mar 2027

Before Dec 2026

Before Oct 2026

Before Nov 2026

Before Jan 2027

97

97

3

2

2

2

Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?

Dec 31, 6:41 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

94%chance

9532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

396

25

When will the first Chinese branded EV be sold in the United States?

Aug 5, 1:03 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8181

OptionProbability

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

After 2032

Before 2028

Before 2027

87

76

72

41

34

17

13

Will the population of Latin America and the Caribbean (combined) exceed 760 million this century?

Nov 2, 1:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.75%chance

25

OptionVotes

NO

YES

75

65

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