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Prediction markets for Launch Academy

Will Tianwen-3 launch before 2030?

Sep 23, 12:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

189844

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1222

116

Next female F1 driver what year?

Jul 27, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4820

OptionProbability

2030-2039

Other

2029

2028

2027

2025

2026

39

37

13

6

3

1

1

Will CNSA's Chang'e 7 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 23, 2:22 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

89.64%chance

5300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

295

59

Will NASA approve the Uranus Orbiter before 2030?

Mar 30, 10:44 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.78%chance

4120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

82

Will Tianwen-3 successfully land on Mars?

Sep 23, 12:15 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.87%chance

475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

187

99

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with a comet?

Sep 23, 5:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

74.72%chance

465

OptionVotes

NO

YES

179

104

Will Tianwen-3 successfully return a sample from Mars?

Sep 23, 12:16 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

45.83%chance

560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

111

107

Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission successfully rendezvous with an asteroid?

Sep 23, 12:12 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

72.64%chance

360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

152

86

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