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Prediction markets for Law Department

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

Jan 23, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

6%chance

5285194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

37235

5859

Will DOGE cause a data breach during 2025?

Feb 7, 3:17 AMDec 31, 1:41 AM

33.76%chance

11715946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1401

714

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

43%chance

8712384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?

Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

9.95%chance

194144

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3008

332

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.6%chance

141992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2498

936

Trump eliminates daylight savings in 2025?

Feb 4, 6:04 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.78%chance

91962

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2227

449

Will any US federal court rule that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) has broken federal law in 2025?

Feb 8, 1:01 PMJan 1, 2:59 PM

91.33%chance

251532

OptionVotes

NO

YES

325

31

Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026?

May 1, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.12%chance

7537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1254

798

Will law enforcement be accused of using AI generated evidence (fake) when interviewing a suspect/witness before 2026?

Mar 2, 3:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

88.14%chance

6317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

427

123

Montana's experimental treatment centers licensed by EOY 2025

May 19, 8:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.73%chance

5190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1068

937

US Federal Gov't ports their physical mail addresses to something online by mid 2031

Mar 8, 4:48 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

44.14%chance

2125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

889

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.16%chance

896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

89

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