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Prediction markets for Law Ministry

Leader of Iran at end of 2026?

Mar 15, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22457226

OptionProbability

Mojtaba Khamenei

Other

Reza Pahlavi

Hassan Rouhani

No Head Of State

Ahmad Vahidi

Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf

Mohamed Amin

Ali Larijani

Masoud Pezeshkian

Maryam Rajavi

Alireza Arafi

Hassan Khomeini

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Sadegh Larijani

Muhammad Mirbaqiri

Abbas Araghchi

Mohammad Khatami

Ali Asghar Hejazi

Donald Trump

Hassan Shariatmadari

Marco Rubio

Nasir Hosseini

Navid Shomali

85

6

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Russia introduce exit visas by the end of 2026

Jul 12, 8:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.95%chance

81108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1922

849

Will Gyanesh Kumar cease to be Chief Election Commissioner of India before 31 December 2026?

Oct 11, 7:57 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.73%chance

10620

OptionVotes

YES

NO

241

42

Will Brazil revoke the new eVisa requirement for US citizens, cancel the border for USA passport holders in 2026?

Dec 20, 8:52 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

13.18%chance

7226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

257

39

Will the Coalition next split before the next election?

Feb 8, 4:59 AMDec 30, 10:59 PM

43.52%chance

6225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

56

Will the feed-in tariff (Einspeisevergütung) of small of small photovoltaics be repealed in Germany in 2026?

Apr 12, 10:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.24%chance

9218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

156

64

Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?

Mar 29, 1:43 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

33.23%chance

10162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

71

Will Israel reform the status of legal advisers during the current Knesset term?

Aug 7, 1:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

15%chance

478

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

49

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

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