OptionVotes
YES
NO
1085
924
OptionProbability
Hours
Days
Weeks
OpenAI models released to the public
Fortnights
Months
Tumbles-related prediction markets (will be N/A'd of no clarification is given by Jun 18, 2025.)
New loans taken (since this market's creation, only counts loans created while a loan is due)
Asses eaten (only ones since market creation can count. Tumbles calls the shots on how this one is operationalized.)
Years
Manifests (2025's is 1st)
U.S. Presidents (Trump's 2nd term is 1st)
U.S. National Elections (2024's is 0th, national midterms count)
Canadian National Elections (2025's is 0th)
Decades
100
87
85
81
66
50
44
26
10
9
8
5
1496
701
2195
908
1009
965
131
77
138
72
170
59
237
140
150
67