Ledger News

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2028?

Mar 22, 9:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.95%chance

508112

OptionVotes

YES

1085

924

Who will be victorious in the second EU5 campaign?

Feb 24, 1:28 PMJun 14, 12:22 PM

113894

OptionProbability

Kevin - Imperial Jerusalemite Order

Matt - Serbian Order

Olly - Burgandy

Malte - Lower Bavaria / Holy Roman Emperor

Mark - Denmark

Sheb - Tuscany

Michael - Alessandria

Pete - Schröders Bank

Callum - Prussia

Tom - Farmers Mutual

Javi - Paderborn

Other

Will @Tumbles be more than 24 ___ late to pay back a loan?

Jun 9, 11:15 PMDec 31, 11:35 PM

263118

OptionProbability

Hours

Days

Weeks

OpenAI models released to the public

Fortnights

Months

Tumbles-related prediction markets (will be N/A'd of no clarification is given by Jun 18, 2025.)

New loans taken (since this market's creation, only counts loans created while a loan is due)

Asses eaten (only ones since market creation can count. Tumbles calls the shots on how this one is operationalized.)

Decades

Years

Manifests (2025's is 1st)

U.S. Presidents (Trump's 2nd term is 1st)

U.S. National Elections (2024's is 0th, national midterms count)

Canadian National Elections (2025's is 0th)

100

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?

Mar 24, 9:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.31%chance

352329

OptionVotes

YES

1496

701

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

3.68%chance

141429

OptionVotes

YES

2195

908

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

Dec 20, 7:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.96%chance

241185

OptionVotes

YES

149

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.74%chance

15471

OptionVotes

YES

1009

965

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex 2.0 be late to pay back a loan?

May 1, 6:32 PMDec 31, 5:01 AM

65.63%chance

11261

OptionVotes

YES

138

will i be late to pay a loan before 2027?

Jan 1, 10:47 PMJan 1, 10:45 PM

25.62%chance

3153

OptionVotes

YES

170

Will mandatory national service be a serious topic in US politics by the 2032 Presidential Election?

Oct 15, 2:58 PMNov 1, 3:59 AM

18%chance

8121

OptionVotes

YES

237

140

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

150

@spiderduckpig loan ledger

Apr 15, 10:01 PM

110

Ledger News

Prediction markets for Ledger

Prediction markets for Ledger

Prediction markets for Ledger

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2028?

Who will be victorious in the second EU5 campaign?

Will @Tumbles be more than 24 ___ late to pay back a loan?

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2033?

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

By the end of 2028, it will be confirmed that Jeffrey Epstein was an foreign, or domestic intelligence asset.

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Will the Tumbles Financial Complex 2.0 be late to pay back a loan?

will i be late to pay a loan before 2027?

Will mandatory national service be a serious topic in US politics by the 2032 Presidential Election?

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

@spiderduckpig loan ledger

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