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Prediction markets for Legendary

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

238109670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4804

137

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.78%chance

10210779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3826

2018

If Eliezer Yudkowsky tried diet and exercise for 6 months, would he lose a reasonable amount of weight?

Nov 14, 8:15 AMNov 21, 10:59 PM

98.24%chance

285558

OptionVotes

NO

YES

791

7

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

423497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

110

Who will be elected president in 2028?

Aug 7, 9:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8445

OptionProbability

Other

J.D. Vance

other

鲁比奥

张三丰

51

22

20

5

2

Which legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?

Nov 6, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8427

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3

Left 4 Dead 3

Portal 3

Other

Team Fortress 3

Dota 3

68

23

3

3

1

1

Which Generations of Pokemon Games Will Be Made?

Feb 2, 3:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7199

OptionProbability

Gen 10

Gen 11

Gen 12

Gen 13

Gen 14

Gen 15

Gen 19

Gen 16

Gen 17

Gen 18

99

90

85

80

75

70

69

65

63

57

What will be my most streamed song on Spotify for 2026?

Jan 4, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4137

OptionProbability

Other non EDM song

Other EDM song

Lanterns by Xomu

Chandelier by Sia

Legendary by Amadeus

32

25

19

12

12

Will Atomic Semi sell something substantial before 2028?

Feb 23, 2:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.27%chance

687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

120

Will Pokemon release a Bug-type legendary by end of 2028?

Mar 24, 7:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.31%chance

560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

121

83

Will Pokemon release a Bug-type legendary by end of 2027?

Mar 24, 7:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.98%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

83

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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