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Prediction markets for Legendary

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27%chance

20292581

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4792

161

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.26%chance

10110558

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

2044

If Eliezer Yudkowsky tried diet and exercise for 6 months, would he lose a reasonable amount of weight?

Nov 14, 8:15 AMNov 21, 10:59 PM

83.19%chance

285530

OptionVotes

NO

YES

350

36

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

84%chance

413487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

330

100

Bop Stock (Permanent)

Feb 24, 9:40 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

123295

OptionProbability

YES

NO

217

210

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?

Oct 1, 4:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

65%chance

442403

OptionVotes

NO

YES

261

82

Will Luffy find the One Piece before 2030?

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.68%chance

15983

OptionVotes

NO

YES

155

64

Will a new version of Skyrim be released before The Elder Scrolls 6 will be released?

Apr 10, 11:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.65%chance

17559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

834

Which legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?

Nov 6, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7392

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3

Left 4 Dead 3

Portal 3

Other

Team Fortress 3

Dota 3

68

23

3

3

1

1

Which Generations of Pokemon Games Will Be Made?

Feb 2, 3:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5176

OptionProbability

Gen 10

Gen 11

Gen 12

Gen 13

Gen 14

Gen 15

Gen 19

Gen 16

Gen 17

Gen 18

98

90

85

80

75

70

69

65

63

57

Will TAG Grading overtake PSA as the biggest collectible authenticator before the end of 2025?

Feb 27, 11:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.97%chance

372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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