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Prediction markets for Legendary

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?

Oct 1, 3:16 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28%chance

226102486

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4797

153

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2035?

Oct 11, 5:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.89%chance

10210773

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3820

2023

Who will win traitors season 4 (US)?

Jan 4, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56669

OptionProbability

Rob Rausch

Donna Kelce

Porsha Williams

Caroline Stanbury

Candiace Dillard Bassett

Lisa Rinna

Dorinda Medley

Ian Terry

Tiffany Mitchell

Rob Cesternino

Natalie Anderson

Yam Yam Arocho

Maura Higgins

Colton Underwood

Kristen Kish

Eric Nam

Michael Rapaport

Mark Ballas

Stephen Colletti

Johnny Weir

Tara Lipinski

Monét X Change

Ron Funches

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

If Eliezer Yudkowsky tried diet and exercise for 6 months, would he lose a reasonable amount of weight?

Nov 14, 8:15 AMNov 21, 10:59 PM

98.24%chance

285558

OptionVotes

NO

YES

791

7

Will Artificial intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2050?

Oct 1, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

80.4%chance

423497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

110

Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?

Oct 1, 4:04 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

70%chance

442933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

283

71

Which legendary 3rd game would Valve release first?

Nov 6, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8427

OptionProbability

Half-Life 3

Left 4 Dead 3

Portal 3

Other

Team Fortress 3

Dota 3

68

23

3

3

1

1

Which Generations of Pokemon Games Will Be Made?

Feb 2, 3:31 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

7199

OptionProbability

Gen 10

Gen 11

Gen 12

Gen 13

Gen 14

Gen 15

Gen 19

Gen 16

Gen 17

Gen 18

99

90

85

80

75

70

69

65

63

57

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

Feb 10, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.95%chance

5157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

What will be my most streamed song on Spotify for 2026?

Jan 4, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4137

OptionProbability

Other non EDM song

Other EDM song

Lanterns by Xomu

Chandelier by Sia

Legendary by Amadeus

32

25

19

12

12

Will Atomic Semi sell something substantial before 2028?

Feb 23, 2:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.27%chance

687

OptionVotes

NO

YES

186

120

Is Jose Luis Ricon FUNNIER than JOSCHA BACH, jose luis ricon, razib khan, @repligate/janus , alexey guzey, qiaochu yuan?

May 2, 4:30 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.19%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

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