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Prediction markets for Legislative Assembly

Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?

Feb 14, 2:58 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

8.29%chance

385609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

38

Will a province or territory of Canada express an intent to join, or attempt to join the US before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:37 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

5.66%chance

305172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4083

245

2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly Elections Winner

Jan 14, 1:07 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

2800

OptionProbability

AITC

BJP

76

24

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1403

713

Tamil Nadu 2026 Elections - Will DMK-led Alliance retain its majority?

Apr 4, 8:39 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

72.39%chance

3115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

162

62

California's AB-1127 ("Glock ban") struck down before 2030?

Oct 14, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner

Jul 6, 4:59 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

573

OptionProbability

Liberal-National

Labor

57

43

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