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Prediction markets for Legislative Assembly

Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?

Feb 14, 2:58 PMApr 12, 4:00 AM

3.42%chance

447037

OptionVotes

YES

NO

605

24

Will a province or territory of Canada express an intent to join, or attempt to join the US before 2028?

Dec 26, 8:37 AMJan 3, 7:59 AM

5.66%chance

305172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4083

245

Will Benjamin Netanyahu still be Prime Minister at the end of 2026?

Feb 13, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.75%chance

224093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

995

2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly Elections Winner

Jan 14, 1:07 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

71670

OptionProbability

AITC

BJP

85

15

Will NYC subway trains (on any line) still have conductors in 2035?

May 25, 12:48 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

86.87%chance

8731

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

39

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1403

713

Tamil Nadu 2026 Elections - Will DMK-led Alliance retain its majority?

Apr 4, 8:39 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

82.05%chance

5235

OptionVotes

NO

YES

214

47

2026 Victorian state election – 2PP count winner

Jul 6, 4:59 PMNov 29, 11:59 PM

5101

OptionProbability

Labor

Liberal-National

50

50

California's AB-1127 ("Glock ban") struck down before 2030?

Oct 14, 8:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.95%chance

377

OptionVotes

NO

YES

173

58

Will Senate Bill S7263 Pass?

Mar 6, 2:12 PMDec 31, 3:11 PM

54.21%chance

211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Will UDF win in the coming Kerala state assembly elections of 2026?

Mar 9, 4:49 AMJul 30, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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