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Prediction markets for Levin

Will Matt Levine have a Substack by EOY 2026?

Jan 10, 4:49 AMJan 17, 4:47 AM

9.86%chance

162469

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3024

331

Will Michael Levin win a Nobel Prize any time in the future?

Jan 3, 8:10 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

37%chance

342183

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

907

Will Michael Levin have a paper on bioelectricity or related systems which has over 2000 citations, by mid 2031

Jan 25, 11:12 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

62.85%chance

131399

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1301

769

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 6:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.8%chance

301093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1461

758

Will Michael Levin be awarded the Nobel Prize?

May 27, 5:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

61081

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

750

Will Michael Levin become a investigator with the Howard Hughes Medical Institute?

Jan 3, 8:11 AMJan 1, 6:01 AM

52.12%chance

8548

OptionVotes

NO

YES

198

182

When will Matt Levine write/talk about a new mistake made at Citi Bank caused by bad UI

Feb 10, 10:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

1110

OptionProbability

before 2031

before 2030

before 2029

before 2028

before 2027

50

34

24

17

10

Will Morgan Levine start to regularly ANY of {rapamycin, metformin, acarbose, SGLT2 inhibitors) by the end of 2027?

Apr 20, 10:46 PMApr 28, 6:59 AM

54.16%chance

767

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

103

Will Stephen Wolfram and Michael Levin have a joint public conversation/podcast/panel in 2026?

Feb 23, 3:31 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

48.2%chance

529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

363

337

Will Michael Levin get a pet axolotl by EOY 2035?

Sep 16, 7:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

Will Morgan Levine win the Robert W. Kleemeier Award?

Dec 23, 3:56 AM

00

Is Michael Levin a vibe engineer (a la https://www.thewayofcode.com/ )

Oct 19, 9:02 PM

20

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