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LI News

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

3.75%chance

4331347210

OptionVotes

YES

NO

506691

19762

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?

Sep 15, 4:58 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

346344215

OptionProbability

Hong Wang

Jacob Tsimerman

Jack Thorne

John Pardon

Yu Deng

Other

Will Sawin

Maria Colombo

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Sam Raskin

Vesselin Dimitrov

Yibo Gao

Tasuki Kinjo

Junliang Shen

Javier Fresan

Maksym Radziwill

Karim Adiprasito

Song Sun

Tatenda Kubalalika

Elia Bruè

Aleksandr Logunov

Amol Aggarwal

Akhil Mathew

Ashwin Sah

Alexander Efimov

Simion Filip

Jeremy Hahn

Lisa Sauermann

Dennis Gaitsgory

(duplicate, will resolve no)

Xian-Jin Li

Mike Wolf

Joseph Palmer

A non-human (e.g. an LLM)

Jacob Braunschweig

Miguel Walsh

Igor Rodnianski

Hannah Larson

Justin Fields

Frederick Manners

Yuansi Chen

Tom Hutchcroft

yunqing tang

Noé Cruchet

Vincent Tassion

Tony Yu

David Budden

Ziyang Gao

Raphaël Beuzart-Plessis

Daniel Restrepo

Matteo Verni

22

19

13

10

9

8

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

26.14%chance

120142062

OptionVotes

YES

NO

168094

59491

Li Qiang stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:25 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

171728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

475

197

Will China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu die in a plane crash?

Sep 15, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.22%chance

9503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

120

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2027?

Dec 24, 4:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35%chance

5251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will Li Ka-shing (Senior Advisor of CK Hutchison Holdings) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 24, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.38%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

53

Will Leon Li (CEO of Huobi exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Apr 29, 5:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.68%chance

3119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

60

Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?

Oct 21, 3:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.4%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

124

81

Will Victor Li (@VictorLJZ) get a girlfriend by EOY 2028?

Apr 27, 7:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is Victor Li (victorljz.com) SPECIAL?

Aug 7, 4:11 AM

00

Will Rishabh Anand and Victor Li both flow-match to each other?

Mar 18, 5:24 PM

00

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