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LI News

Will Trump wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [High Liquidity]

Nov 18, 4:29 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

3.33%chance

4811516179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

539538

18559

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.11%chance

619657288

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5625

4094

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medals?

Sep 15, 4:58 PMJul 2, 3:59 AM

382394424

OptionProbability

Hong Wang

Jacob Tsimerman

Jack Thorne

John Pardon

Yu Deng

Other

Julian Sahasrabudhe

Sam Raskin

Aleksandr Logunov

Xian-Jin Li

Will Sawin

Vesselin Dimitrov

Alexander Efimov

Javier Fresan

Maksym Radziwill

Karim Adiprasito

Song Sun

Tatenda Kubalalika

Elia Bruè

Amol Aggarwal

Akhil Mathew

Ashwin Sah

Maria Colombo

Simion Filip

Jeremy Hahn

Lisa Sauermann

Dennis Gaitsgory

(duplicate, will resolve no)

Yibo Gao

Mike Wolf

Joseph Palmer

A non-human (e.g. an LLM)

Jacob Braunschweig

Miguel Walsh

Igor Rodnianski

Tasuki Kinjo

Junliang Shen

Hannah Larson

Justin Fields

Frederick Manners

Yuansi Chen

Tom Hutchcroft

yunqing tang

Noé Cruchet

Vincent Tassion

Tony Yu

David Budden

Ziyang Gao

Raphaël Beuzart-Plessis

Daniel Restrepo

Matteo Verni

Jiaoyang Huang

22

17

15

11

11

5

3

3

3

3

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?

Mar 4, 3:00 AMJan 1, 3:50 AM

19.32%chance

157197969

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204320

48943

CATL receives license renewal for Yichun Lithium mine by end of Feb 2027?

Jun 9, 2:12 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

4765967

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130486

84436

Li Qiang stock (permanent)

Mar 27, 6:25 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

171728

OptionProbability

YES

NO

475

197

Will China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu die in a plane crash?

Sep 15, 11:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.22%chance

9503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

510

120

Will Li Ka-shing (Senior Advisor of CK Hutchison Holdings) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 24, 10:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.38%chance

5140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

53

Will Leon Li (CEO of Huobi exchange) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Apr 29, 5:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.68%chance

3119

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

60

Will Victor Li (@VictorLJZ) get a girlfriend by EOY 2028?

Apr 27, 7:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Is Victor Li (victorljz.com) SPECIAL?

Aug 7, 4:11 AM

00

Will Rishabh Anand and Victor Li both flow-match to each other?

Mar 18, 5:24 PM

00

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