OptionProbability
Green
Your Party (new far left party)
Labour
Reform
Lib Dems
Conservative
81
67
63
50
42
23
Greens
Conservatives
"Your party"
Other
19
16
15
7
5
Reform > Labour > Lib Dem > Conservative
Reform > Labour > Conservative > Lib Dem
Labour > Reform > Conservative > Lib Dem
Conservative > Reform > Labour > Lib Dem
Reform > Labour > Lib Dem > SNP
64
11
9
4
Soft electoral pact: parties do not actively campaign in seats where the other stands a strong chance of success
The parties have issued a joint press statement
Hard electoral pact: parties do not stand against each other in seats they contest
The parties have merged into one
45
43
17
Reform UK
SDLP
SNP
Plaid Cymru
UUP
Lib Dem
Sinn Fein
DUP
96
92
73
69
62
51
40
25
20
1
