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Prediction markets for Liberal

If Trump is elected, will the US still be a liberal democracy at the end of his term? (V-DEM)

Feb 23, 9:36 PMJan 21, 10:59 PM

64.65%chance

19938407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1197

851

Will gamers be liberated by the end of 2025?

Aug 19, 5:33 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

3.2%chance

363691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3771

767

Will the Colombian government and National Liberation Army (ELN) rebels announce a comprehensive agreement before the end of President Gustavo Petro’s term?

Jan 15, 4:17 PMAug 8, 2:59 AM

21.52%chance

151599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1960

387

Capitalism and liberal democracy are going to be doing fine (or well) in 2030

Jan 6, 6:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.64%chance

371499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1021

798

Will a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?

Jan 29, 8:51 PMJan 21, 5:59 AM

23.47%chance

151324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1806

554

Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?

Aug 13, 9:20 PMSep 12, 10:59 PM

20%chance

71220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Will the People's Liberation Army Navy lose at least one surface vessel before 2030?

Jun 10, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.38%chance

201115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1184

844

Will the USA "liberate the people of Britain from their tyrannical government" before the next US presidential election?

Jan 6, 9:00 AMNov 6, 11:59 PM

1%chance

101051

OptionVotes

YES

NO

995

10

Will Ed Davey lead the Liberal Democrat party into the next General Election?

Jan 6, 4:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.54%chance

7499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1213

824

Will Trump's 2nd term be better than his first term (according to historians - tend to be liberal)?

Nov 6, 7:44 AMMar 30, 4:59 AM

15%chance

7140

OptionVotes

YES

NO

238

42

Iran a liberal democracy in 2032, conditional on regime change in 2025 or 2026?

Jun 18, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.43%chance

586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

58

Will the Liberal Democratic Party in Japan win over 200 seats in the next general election?

Nov 4, 2:44 PMNov 12, 7:59 AM

56.62%chance

376

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

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