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Prediction markets for Lifetime

Will Elon Musk be worth more than $1 Trillion during his lifetime?

Sep 20, 7:29 PMJun 29, 3:59 AM

81.97%chance

10360009

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2608

544

Will a "lifetime smoking ban" become law in the UK before the next General Election after July 2024?

May 31, 1:56 PMMay 7, 10:59 PM

76.1%chance

6613871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1784

560

Will Trump spend at least one month in prison during his lifetime?

Apr 4, 10:26 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7.26%chance

13713296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5088

908

Will Donald Trump get impeached again in his lifetime?

Jan 2, 7:44 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

60%chance

423390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1423

510

Will we ever discover alien civilizations in our lifetime?

Mar 5, 10:01 AMJun 19, 3:59 AM

13.47%chance

223038

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1696

807

Will someone live to be 125 years old during my lifetime?

Feb 26, 1:48 AMAug 10, 6:59 AM

66.54%chance

211632

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

916

Will I vote for a national-level Republican in my lifetime?

Aug 20, 4:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

291317

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

866

Will trump ever receive any federal pardon in his lifetime?

Jul 28, 3:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54.58%chance

18854

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

867

In 2030, will more than 30 million people in the US aged 18+ have tried ecstasy (MDMA/molly) in their lifetimes?

Feb 1, 6:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.05%chance

14739

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1090

910

Will George W Bush endorse the Republican candidate for president again in his lifetime?

Apr 10, 1:33 AMApr 20, 10:59 PM

56.34%chance

20690

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

725

Will Lin-Manuel Miranda complete an EGOT in his lifetime?

Oct 4, 6:32 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

63.42%chance

14332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

823

Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?

Jan 29, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.58%chance

15293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1048

834

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