LIGHT News
Prediction markets for LIGHT
Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?
Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
83.71%chance
85130764
OptionVotes
2919
859
Will it come to light that Joe Biden used a body double while in presidential office or on the campaign trail?
Jul 4, 7:02 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM
3.36%chance
5944351
OptionVotes
38965
7534
Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Aug 16, 2:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
37.36%chance
7043109
OptionVotes
1242
785
Will Portland MAX light rail extend to Vancouver WA before end of 2030
Sep 26, 10:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.42%chance
931732
OptionVotes
29345
3524
Will "SPINNING PLATES OF MEANING ON A NEEDLE MADE OF LIGHT!" receive 10,000 listens in 2025?
Mar 27, 11:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.12%chance
5826770
OptionVotes
1302
768
OptionVotes
1053
655
There are no aliens or distinguishable alien materials within 100 light-years of Earth.
Mar 25, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
67.2%chance
391840
OptionVotes
1009
930
Will any human-made object go faster than 1% of the speed of light before 2060?
Mar 1, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
55.09%chance
321009
OptionVotes
1075
928
Will the documentary about the Soule-Reeves family's auction-based decisions see the light of day by the end of 2025?
Jun 7, 5:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
37.51%chance
8585
OptionVotes
1291
775
Is there extraterrestrial life within 10 light years from the solar system?
Feb 11, 3:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.71%chance
10359
OptionVotes
237
92
Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Will "Momentum of Light in Glass" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Oct 20, 2:02 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000