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Lightcone News
Prediction markets for Lightcone
Prediction markets for Lightcone
Will "Lightcone is hiring a generalist, a designer,..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jan 19, 9:04 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
4.04%
chance
5
2200
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3200
827
Will "Toss a bitcoin to your Lightcone – LW + Light..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Dec 13, 10:57 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
8.91%
chance
2
550
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1550
931
Will "Do Not Tile the Lightcone with Your Confused ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jun 15, 5:33 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
21.2%
chance
5
434
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1073
649
Is Jose Luis Ricon's personal Lightcone smaller by EOY2026 than it is in EOY2025?
Aug 29, 9:53 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
81.67%
chance
2
131
Option
Votes
NO
YES
211
47
In 2030, will I think I was right about Habryka as a counterparty / Lightcone Infrastructure as a donation target?
Nov 3, 4:16 AM
Jan 2, 7:59 AM
40.98%
chance
2
20
Option
Votes
YES
NO
120
83
Will Matt Kaeberlein have a larger personal lightcone than David Sinclair?
Sep 12, 4:51 PM
0
0
Will Lada Nuzhna have a larger Lightcone than Sam Altman?
Sep 12, 4:50 PM
1
0
Who has larger Lightcone: Lada Nuzhna or Jose Luis Ricon
Sep 16, 12:42 PM
3
0
Who has larger Lightcone: Matt Kaeberlein or David Sinclair?
Aug 30, 4:54 PM
1
0
Who has LARGER LIGHTCONE: Ethan Caballero or Irina Rish?
Sep 26, 2:21 AM
1
0
Who has larger Lightcone: Anhphu Nguyen or Caine Ardayfio?
Sep 12, 7:12 PM
1
0
Who has larger Lightcone: Laria Reynolds or eliezer yudkowsky
Sep 12, 7:09 PM
8
0
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