DeepNewz, mobile.

People-sourced. AI-powered. Unbiased News.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story detail view.

Screenshot of DeepNewz app showing story list view.

Search

For You

Lighthaven News

Footer

AI

AI Fundraising
AI Modeling
AI Products

Business

Automobile
Company Earnings
Economics
Law
Prediction Markets
Real Estate
Rumors
Stocks
VC

Crypto

Airdrops
Blockchains
CBDCs
DeFi
Hacks
Markets
Memecoin
Mining
NFT
Regulation

Culture

Anime
Celebrities
Crime
Education
Movies
Music
Obituary
TV
Video Games

Environment

Climate
Energy
Natural Disasters
Natural Resources
Sustainability

Politics

DOGE
Epstein Files
Executive Orders
Tariffs
US Domestic Policy
US Elections
US Foreign Policy
US Gov Appointments
US Judiciary
US Legislation
War

Science

Archeology
Bio
Health
Math
Pharma
Physics
Space

Sports

Boxing
Chess
Cricket
Golf
Hockey
MLB
NBA
NCAA
NFL
Olympics
PGA
Poker
Racing
Rugby
Soccer
Tennis
UFC

Tech

AR-VR
Fintech
Infosec
IoT
Metaverse
Policy
Robotics
Smart Home
Software
Startups
Wearables

United States

Arizona
Boston
California
Chicago
Colorado
Detroit
Florida
Georgia
Las Vegas
Los Angeles
New Jersey
New Mexico
New York
Ohio
Oregon
Philadelphia
San Francisco
Seattle
Texas
Utah
Washington DC

World

Terms of Service

WhatsApp YouTube X

© 2026 DeepNFTValue, Inc. All rights reserved.

Prediction markets for Lighthaven

Will people in 2050 talk about Lighthaven the same way they talk about Bell Labs now?

Sep 3, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9.8%chance

126264

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3035

330

Where will the next Manifest X be after Manifest X DC?

Sep 23, 1:12 AMJan 1, 12:59 AM

254458

OptionProbability

There is no other Manifest X by the end of 2026

New York

Montreal

Boston

Other

Prospera

Texas (any major city)

Surprise! Washington, DC again!

Berlin

San Francisco Bay Area (excluding Lighthaven)

London

Paris

49

23

5

5

4

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

When can I take a fully driverless Waymo from SFO to Lighthaven?

Nov 13, 6:57 PMDec 31, 6:50 PM

62522

OptionProbability

Q3 2026

Q2 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2028

Q2 2028

Q3 2028

Q4 2025

14

13

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

1

When will I be able to call a Waymo to get from San Francisco to Lighthaven in Berkeley?

Feb 22, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

121269

OptionProbability

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q4 2026

Other

Q3 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2027

Q4 2027

Q1 2026

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2025

Q2 2025

26

17

14

9

8

6

6

5

4

2

2

1

1

Will it be possible for me to travel from San Francisco to Lighthaven in a Waymo in 2026?

May 21, 2:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.52%chance

241268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

180

55

Will "Lighthaven East - A Feasibility Study" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 1, 1:47 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

34.52%chance

4948

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

364

Lighthaven hosts furry event or convention before 2028?

Jul 9, 9:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.66%chance

7334

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

36

Will I get accepted to the August Iliad Intensive?

Jun 5, 4:38 PMJun 30, 10:59 AM

55.34%chance

4287

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

898

Will "My Interview With Cade Metz on His Reporting ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Aug 23, 12:54 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

11.64%chance

2200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

971

Will latch.bio, retro.bio, mox, or lighthaven get a libernovo Omni dynamic ergonomic chair by eoy2031

Nov 9, 12:08 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will Lighthaven replace its coffee-makers with lower-plastic (or zero-plastic) coffee-makers between 2024 and EOY2026?

Dec 9, 10:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

Will one of Tom Chivers' books (eg AI does not hate you) appear on Lighthaven bookshelves by EOY2026?

Aug 6, 3:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

51.04%chance

443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Latest stories