OptionVotes
YES
NO
1005
995
2381
520
1296
465
OptionProbability
Elections held before October 27th
Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)
Likud is the biggest party after next elections
Parliament dissolves before budget deadline (end of March)
New PM other than Netanyahu
Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections
Opposition block forms a minority coalition with external support of Arab block
Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections
Parliament dissolved before 2026 starts
87
70
65
59
52
46
26
13
0