Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)
Netanyahu claims the elections were stolen due to widespread fraud
New primary elections for Likud before the general elections
Religious Zionism–Zehut passes the threshold
Ra’am passes the threshold
Speaker of the is replaced within 4 weeks after elections day
New PM other than Netanyahu
Opposition block forms a minority coalition with external support of Arab block
A new government with Likud and Yashar is sweared in before 2027
Stalemate: no new government, another elections (similar to 2019)
The first candidate tasked with forming a government fails
Opposition-led coalition, with temporary support from Arab parties, is sweared in and immediately disbanded - just so Netanyahu will not be caretaker PM
Elections held before October 27th
Parliament dissolved before 2026 starts
Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections
Parliament dissolves before budget deadline (end of March)
Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections
More than 6% of eligible votes go to parties below the threshold
At least one incumbent coalition party fails to cross the electoral threshold
The largest party wins fewer than 25 seats
Amcha Yisrael passes the threshold
Reservists + New Economy passes the threshold
Blue and White passes the threshold
Opposition block (ex Arabs) wins more seats than coalition block; Netanyahu declares victory
