OptionVotes
NO
YES
1215
823
2890
454
1296
464
OptionProbability
Budget law is passed before deadline (end of March)
Elections held before October 27th
Likud is the biggest party after next elections
Opposition block (ex. Arab parties) wins a majority in the next elections
New PM other than Netanyahu
Bennet’s new party is the biggest party after the next elections
Opposition block forms a minority coalition with external support of Arab block
Parliament dissolved before 2026 starts
Parliament dissolves before budget deadline (end of March)
100
85
59
50
48
33
28
0
