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Prediction markets for Limited Partners

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.37%chance

404076

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1551

645

EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?

Jan 6, 2:38 AMJan 31, 4:59 AM

79.72%chance

173781

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1983

504

Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?

Dec 6, 2:40 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM

50.84%chance

533492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1017

983

Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?

Oct 10, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.32%chance

201355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

775

Which US states will pass a phone ban in schools by 2029?

Jun 7, 10:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11960

OptionProbability

California

Virginia

New York

Kentucky

Oklahoma

100

62

58

56

43

Valve accepts ACH/SEPA/etc before next censorship scandal?

Sep 24, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:13 PM

72.67%chance

5565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

61

Will the sports gear tracking app reach at least 1,000 registered users by 31 December 2026?

Jan 8, 3:54 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

60%chance

11493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Will Wero reach 10 countries before 2028?

Jul 28, 6:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.36%chance

2400

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

968

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Apr 1, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

62

Microsoft ships a Linux desktop by 2032?

Nov 20, 8:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.56%chance

9214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will an AI be able to impersonate players in Super Smash Bros. Melee before 2030?

Mar 27, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.99%chance

10177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

257

192

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