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Prediction markets for Limited Partners

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.99%chance

363347

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1334

750

Will Trump sign any cannabis-related legislation during his second term?

Dec 6, 2:40 AMJan 22, 5:59 AM

51.95%chance

473271

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1040

962

EV powered by CATL's Naxtra sodium-ion battery to ship commercially by EOY 2026?

Jan 6, 2:38 AMJan 31, 4:59 AM

74.76%chance

132825

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1721

581

OpenAI collapses or gets acquired before IPO?

Nov 22, 12:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.41%chance

151460

OptionVotes

YES

NO

353

28

Will Emily and I get a divorce by end of 2040?

Oct 10, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.32%chance

201355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1346

775

Waymo generally available in London when?

Oct 18, 2:11 PMJul 1, 2:07 PM

151149

OptionProbability

Before July 2027

Before Jan 2027

Not before July 2027

Before July 2026

91

35

8

1

Which US states will pass a phone ban in schools by 2029?

Jun 7, 10:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11960

OptionProbability

California

Virginia

New York

Kentucky

Oklahoma

100

62

58

56

43

Valve accepts ACH/SEPA/etc before next censorship scandal?

Sep 24, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:13 PM

72.67%chance

5565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

61

Will the sports gear tracking app reach at least 1,000 registered users by 31 December 2026?

Jan 8, 3:54 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

60%chance

10491

OptionVotes

NO

YES

122

82

Will MSFT acquire/merge with OpenAI by the end of 2027?

Apr 1, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

8261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

50

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

62

Will my family continue to call me fat by 2035?

Jul 23, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

92.67%chance

6199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

340

130

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