OptionProbability
2025-09-30 / 30th September 2025
2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025
2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026
100
82
OptionVotes
YES
NO
140
71
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
Other
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
25
22
15
5
3
247
89
223
45
Lindsey Graham
Nancy Mace
Ralph Norman
Nikki Haley
Henry McMaster
74
12
4
