OptionProbability
Wins primary and general for senate in south carolina
Wins primary and loses general for senate in south carolina
Officially Announces a relationship
Resigns/leaves office/dies on or before election day?
Officially announces an engagement
Officially comes out as lgbtqia+
Loses Republican primary for senate in south carolina
81
19
18
11
8
0
He will stay in until the Republican primary but lose it.
He will drop out after the Republican endorsement convention but before the primary.
Other
He will drop out before the Republican endorsement convention.
He will be nominated winning the Republican primary but lose the general election.
He will win the Republican primary but drop out before the general election.
He will remain in the race through all stages and win the general election.
63
16
9
4
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
200
50
2025-09-30 / 30th September 2025
2025-12-31 / 31st December 2025
2026-12-31 / 31st December 2026
100
88
Lindsey Graham
Nancy Mace
Ralph Norman
Nikki Haley
Henry McMaster
79
3
247
89
223
45