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Prediction markets for LINE

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31%chance

480364045

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2864

2078

Will more than 100,000 people live in a line-shaped city in Saudi Arabia in 2035? eg The Line

Jan 31, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.85%chance

4017997

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

850

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Will the front line in Ukraine change significantly before the war ends?

Sep 15, 5:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

60.2%chance

836669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

677

Line stock [permanent]

Apr 4, 1:30 AMAug 11, 9:43 PM

77.72%chance

141626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

965

Will AI customer phone lines be normal by 2027?

Jun 14, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.42%chance

351342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1154

928

Iphone is no longer apples dominant product line in terms of revenue by the end of this decade?

Sep 6, 10:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

39.93%chance

15702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1080

838

C-17 production line reopening announced by 2030?

Jul 4, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28%chance

10687

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1604

624

Will China close any high-speed rail line before 2030?

Sep 26, 1:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

48.32%chance

11499

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

992

Before Feb 2026, will a transformer based reasoning model >1800 elo be able to explain 3+ chess lines at any position?

Jan 28, 10:50 PMFeb 2, 6:59 AM

55.1%chance

6485

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1108

903

Will the YIMBY/NIMBY divide line up with political affiliation in the USA before 2027?

Feb 9, 7:52 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

28.91%chance

15221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

964

How will SANDAG prevent the LA/SD rail line from falling into the Pacific?

Jul 24, 12:13 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

00

OptionProbability

San Dieguito Bridge to I-5 (tunnel)

under Crest Canyon (tunnel)

under Camino Del Mar (tunnel)

double-track & reinforce existing route on Del Mar Bluffs (no tunnel)

don't do anything ("no build")

20

20

20

20

20

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