Linea News
Prediction markets for Linea
Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2029?
Mar 11, 3:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.57%chance
423519
OptionVotes
2590
1589
How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Jan 24, 9:14 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM
14.36%chance
61579
OptionVotes
1044
992
Will Linear A (Minoan Script Language) be deciphered by the end of 2026?
Aug 29, 3:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.08%chance
171210
OptionVotes
237
42
How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Jan 24, 9:13 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM
28.02%chance
41070
OptionVotes
1074
778
Democratic House seats after 2026 election? (200-250, linear)
Jan 11, 3:45 AMNov 2, 11:59 PM
53.94%chance
91031
OptionVotes
1082
924
Republican Senate seats after 2026 election? (45-55, linear)
Jan 11, 3:42 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
45.88%chance
6817
OptionVotes
1086
921
How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Jan 24, 9:10 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM
41.94%chance
2703
OptionVotes
1094
852
How many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Oct 29, 4:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.01%chance
2172
OptionVotes
2772
2450
Will "Detecting Strategic Deception Using Linear Probes" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 21, 8:45 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
2122
OptionVotes
1000
1000
If Hildebrand, the antipope elected by Bugnolo, is consecrated, which episcopal lineage will the consecrator have?
Dec 13, 11:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2110
OptionProbability
18
14
14
14
14
12
12
Do OpenAI's o*-series models share a common lineage with GPT-4o?
Aug 3, 6:57 AMDec 31, 7:38 AM
55.24%chance
231
OptionVotes
111
90
Do Recurring Slope Lineae on Mars involve liquid water?
May 3, 9:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
50.33%chance
220
OptionVotes
101
99