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Prediction markets for LINK

JFK assassination linked to Aliens before 2040

Jun 8, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.47%chance

225659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2530

883

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.1%chance

184504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12481

8012

Will credible evidence emerge linking Sahra Wagenknecht to Putin before 2030?

Aug 19, 11:02 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.54%chance

131230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1582

632

Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?

Nov 12, 10:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

91.68%chance

221041

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1896

872

Will Australia-Asia Power Link deliver 900 megawatts of electricity to Darwin by 2030?

Aug 23, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

19.92%chance

21005

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2005

499

News coverage linking AI to suicide will triple — but actual suicides will not in 2026

Jan 2, 7:48 AMJan 14, 7:59 AM

65.83%chance

5722

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1388

721

Under US law, does dynamic linking against a library create a derivative work?

May 31, 12:54 AMJan 2, 1:47 AM

30.53%chance

7603

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1509

663

Is there a significant link between gpt2-chatbot and the firing of Sam Altman?

May 1, 11:54 AMMar 8, 10:59 PM

6.31%chance

7421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

521

55

Will official evidence confirm cartel-linked drones caused the El Paso airspace shutdown?

Feb 12, 6:38 AMDec 31, 7:33 AM

7.88%chance

3240

OptionVotes

YES

NO

277

71

An algorithm exists that can run on a Game Boy Advance that will pass one of the AGI tests in the linked question

Oct 17, 4:18 AMMar 26, 6:59 AM

40.78%chance

4235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

830

Will sciencedirect.com links all become dead links by 2035?

Aug 10, 10:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

79

Useful links

Aug 12, 3:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

115

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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