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Liquid AI News

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

296432

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2124

471

Will MNX hire a quant trader before June?

Apr 19, 10:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

85.28%chance

665209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2407

415

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.28%chance

244492

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3573

281

In what year will AI achieve a score of 95% or higher on the PhysBench leaderboard?

Jul 4, 6:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM

131949

OptionProbability

2027-2028

2025-2026

2029-2030

2039-2040

2031-2032

2033-2034

2035-2036

2037-2038

44

30

27

27

26

26

26

26

Will Brightline (Florida) default in 2026

Feb 4, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.56%chance

5315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

969

Which Bittensor subnet from SN1–SN64 will be the most valuable at the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8306

OptionProbability

SN64

SN4

SN3

SN9

SN1

SN2

SN5

SN6

SN7

SN8

SN10

SN11

SN12

SN13

SN14

SN15

SN16

SN17

SN18

SN19

SN20

SN21

SN22

SN23

SN24

SN25

SN26

SN27

SN28

SN29

SN30

SN31

SN32

SN33

SN34

SN35

SN36

SN37

SN38

SN39

SN40

SN41

SN42

SN43

SN44

SN45

SN46

SN47

SN48

SN49

SN50

SN51

SN52

SN53

SN54

SN55

SN56

SN57

SN58

SN59

SN60

SN61

SN62

SN63

22

10

7

6

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will there be more than 1 year of more than 100 attributable agentic human deaths from AI before a human gigadeath event

Mar 31, 4:54 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

87.5%chance

5281

OptionVotes

NO

YES

183

79

Prediction markets are the hype cycle of 2026

Jan 3, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.44%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

Will OpenAI be listed on Nasdaq by the end of 2026?

Mar 31, 12:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

7137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

38

Which Bittensor subnet from SN65–SN128 will be the most valuable at the end of 2026?

Mar 28, 11:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2112

OptionProbability

SN97

SN75

SN65

SN66

SN67

SN68

SN69

SN70

SN71

SN72

SN73

SN74

SN76

SN77

SN78

SN79

SN80

SN81

SN82

SN83

SN84

SN85

SN86

SN87

SN88

SN89

SN90

SN91

SN92

SN93

SN94

SN95

SN96

SN98

SN99

SN100

SN101

SN102

SN103

SN104

SN105

SN106

SN107

SN108

SN109

SN110

SN111

SN112

SN113

SN114

SN115

SN116

SN117

SN118

SN119

SN120

SN121

SN122

SN123

SN124

SN125

SN126

SN127

SN128

15

14

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

When will LiquidAI LFM3 be released?

Apr 22, 7:37 AMJul 2, 5:59 AM

130

OptionProbability

Q4 2026

Q1 2027

Q2 2027

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

35

18

18

15

15

Will the OPM-MEG be used for a neuroimaging study of sex on psychedelics by EOY2027?

Apr 10, 9:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.2%chance

218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

118

85

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