Liquid News
Prediction markets for Liquid
Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?
Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM
29.57%chance
1953878
OptionVotes
16624
6806
Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?
Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.83%chance
578939
OptionVotes
1455
514
Will I complete my economics Bachelor's degree at the University of Bonn in 3 years. [Ṁ1337 liquidity subsidy]
Nov 19, 1:57 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
90.2%chance
185249
OptionVotes
4897
736
In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]
Nov 29, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
8.14%chance
262675
OptionVotes
1734
866
Will Devansh have a *liquid* net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?
Feb 9, 5:30 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
93.04%chance
121981
OptionVotes
2739
713
Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030
Dec 14, 5:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
59.93%chance
441866
OptionVotes
1015
945
Will the world's first general artificial intelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]
Mar 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
42.78%chance
331249
OptionVotes
1041
957
Will the world's first superintelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]
Mar 26, 12:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
28.08%chance
26964
OptionVotes
1173
916
Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?
Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM
75.44%chance
9859
OptionVotes
1753
571
Resolves as half the fractional change in CO2 emissions between 2030 and 2023 [added liquidity]
Mar 1, 10:44 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM
48.58%chance
8331
OptionVotes
876
624
Manifold enacts change to make markets more liquid by EOY 2025?
Apr 18, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.53%chance
672
OptionVotes
132
76
Will RISK ever be insolvent/not pay out a valid insurance policy due to liquidity reasons by 2028?
Jul 25, 12:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.08%chance
438
OptionVotes
104
96