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Prediction markets for Liquid

Will there be a >0 value liquidity event for me, a former Consensys Software Inc. employee, on my shares of the company?

Jun 24, 1:17 PMSep 3, 4:00 AM

29.57%chance

1953878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16624

6806

Will any Atlas Fellow have a liquid net worth >100M by 2030?

Dec 22, 1:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.83%chance

578939

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

514

Will I complete my economics Bachelor's degree at the University of Bonn in 3 years. [Ṁ1337 liquidity subsidy]

Nov 19, 1:57 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

90.2%chance

185249

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4897

736

In 2040, will there be a consensus that large-scale fraud occurred in the 2020 US presidential election? [$10k Liquid]

Nov 29, 11:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.14%chance

262675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

866

Will Devansh have a liquid net worth of at least $1M on January 1, 2028?

Feb 9, 5:30 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

93.04%chance

121981

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2739

713

Will the TSA allow >200ml containers of liquid on flights by 2030

Dec 14, 5:29 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.93%chance

441866

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1015

945

Will the world's first general artificial intelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]

Mar 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.78%chance

331249

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1041

957

Will the world's first superintelligence come from OpenAI? [M$300 liquidity subsidy]

Mar 26, 12:21 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

28.08%chance

26964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

916

Will NASA's Europa Clipper confirm liquid water under the ice?

Oct 18, 1:02 AMOct 15, 3:59 AM

75.44%chance

9859

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1753

571

Resolves as half the fractional change in CO2 emissions between 2030 and 2023 [added liquidity]

Mar 1, 10:44 AMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

48.58%chance

8331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

876

624

Manifold enacts change to make markets more liquid by EOY 2025?

Apr 18, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.53%chance

672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

76

Will RISK ever be insolvent/not pay out a valid insurance policy due to liquidity reasons by 2028?

Jul 25, 12:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.08%chance

438

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

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