LIU News
Top stories
Prediction markets for LIU
OptionProbability
85
83
64
61
53
45
38
30
28
28
27
27
25
20
19
18
17
16
16
16
16
13
11
10
10
10
10
9
7
6
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
2
1
OptionProbability
33
16
9
8
6
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
Who will play Kaladin in Apple’s film adaptation of The Stormlight Archives?
Jan 29, 6:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33291
OptionProbability
76
6
5
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
OptionProbability
20
16
15
12
9
9
9
7
7
7
6
6
6
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
OptionProbability
13
12
8
7
7
6
6
5
4
4
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
Who will be the next person appointed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Dec 30, 11:24 PMJan 1, 5:00 PM
19863
OptionProbability
72
9
3
3
3
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
436
23
Who will be appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA at some point of their life?
Jan 13, 4:33 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
6450
OptionProbability
24
23
12
6
6
6
6
6
6
4
Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?
Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.65%chance
7135
OptionVotes
159
63
The first Chinese woman to walk on the Moon will be neither Liu Yang nor Wang Yaping
Oct 30, 12:48 PMNov 6, 3:59 PM
51.34%chance
322
OptionVotes
94
85
Will janus/repligate, AlkahestMu, or Celeste appear in a Ken Liu novel by EOY2031?
Aug 23, 7:13 PMDec 31, 8:12 PM
43.06%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
87