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Logic News

Will we have AI that can explain chess moves logic in human language by 2030?

Feb 11, 6:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

95.75%chance

426247

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2482

837

Will the USA have 20% or more of advanced logic chip production by 2032?

May 13, 5:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.18%chance

185040

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1083

920

Will Wolfram Research create a general AI based on replacement rules logic by 2030?

May 3, 8:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7%chance

383221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1839

817

Counter Logic Gaming [LOL stock]

Mar 17, 3:41 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

53%chance

61662

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

54

In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?

Jan 7, 2:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12578

OptionProbability

Not demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035

2031–2032

2029–2030

2033 or later

2028 or earlier

32

22

16

16

15

Which philosophy subfields will be represented by 3+ PhD-holders at Manifest 2026?

May 18, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6247

OptionProbability

Applied Ethics

Decision Theory

Formal Epistemology

Metaethics

Philosophy of Mind

Philosophy of AI

Logic

Political Philosophy

Philosophy of Science

Philosophy of Language

Ancient Philosophy

Continental Philosophy

Metaphysics

History of Philosophy (non-ancient)

80

76

68

50

50

50

45

41

34

34

24

24

0

0

Who will be the next delegate of The West Pacific?

Mar 26, 5:19 PMDec 30, 5:17 PM

2215

OptionProbability

Logical Stimulus

Other

Noton Mast

88

11

1

Sword Logic Stock (SWL)

Jan 29, 8:55 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

5150

OptionProbability

NO

YES

194

102

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Richard Ngo?

Apr 1, 10:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.16%chance

4109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

113

What will win at the 2026 Thinky Game awards?

Aug 28, 2:26 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

390

OptionProbability

The Incident at Galley House

The Artisan of Glimmith

Super Sudokoid: Dark Inversion

Sudokuvania 2: Lineage of Logic

Desktop Explorer

TR-49

Sokogram

Big Walk

Cursed Words

Pronoun Palace

62

53

43

43

43

43

35

29

29

29

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Apr 1, 10:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

219

92

If a god were to make a universe do they would they be able to make the illogical logical ex square circles

Nov 22, 3:34 AM

20

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