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Prediction markets for London

Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?

Mar 22, 1:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28181853

OptionProbability

No

Yes

98

2

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.22%chance

2511293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11988

1114

Which party will win the 2028 London mayoral election?

Aug 20, 10:18 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

145060

OptionProbability

Labour

Reform

Other

Greens

Conservative

52

17

14

13

4

Will there be self driving taxis in London, UK by the end of 2026?

Aug 21, 7:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.04%chance

473812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1621

217

Will people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?

Jun 9, 10:52 AMDec 20, 11:59 PM

7.49%chance

262573

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1833

26

Will I be able to book a commercial electrical flight between London and New York in 2040?

Mar 7, 8:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.55%chance

411685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

923

Will Baidu driverless cars be available to ride in London in 2026?

Dec 22, 6:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.21%chance

121109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1327

753

Will Thomas Skinner stand in the 2028 London Mayoral election?

Jun 24, 4:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.84%chance

6777

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1651

606

Will Anthropic substantially reduce its London office size?

Jun 13, 1:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.39%chance

6665

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1628

614

Will 25 London restaurants offer a cultivated meat product by 2029?

Mar 3, 3:03 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

37.45%chance

12396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1014

926

Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?

Jun 17, 1:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.28%chance

335

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

966

Wayve robotaxi in London when?

Jun 26, 8:23 PMJul 1, 10:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Before Sep 2026

Before Nov 2026

Before Jan 2027

Before Mar 2027

Before May 2027

Before Jul 2027

50

50

50

50

50

50

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