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Prediction markets for Lotte

How much mana will be spent in the charity lottery?

Jan 11, 3:22 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

156284

OptionProbability

1,000,000 - 1,399,999

1,400,000 - 2,000,000

800,000 - 999,999

Above 2,000,000

200,000 - 399,999

400,000 - 599,999

600,000 - 799,999

29

25

24

19

1

1

1

Should you infer in the lottery sniper problem that you're only one of many players?

Dec 25, 1:40 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

16.7%chance

261912

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1222

824

Will any AI consistently get a perfect score on Maxim Lott's offline IQ test by the end of 2027?

Nov 1, 10:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

69.03%chance

391851

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1493

670

Will I win the lottery within the next 5 years?

Feb 9, 6:31 AMFeb 8, 8:00 AM

1.13%chance

81188

OptionVotes

YES

NO

838

99

What will be the outcome of the class-action lawsuit against Elon Musk for his 2024 election lottery?

Aug 21, 12:48 PMDec 31, 1:40 PM

8715

OptionProbability

Settled out of court

Plaintiffs win

Elon wins

63

21

16

All 85,000 H1-B lottery slots for the next cycle filled despite $100k fee?

Sep 21, 7:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.54%chance

5681

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

989

If I win the lottery, will it ruin my life?

Feb 9, 7:33 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

18%chance

8365

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

141

Was the 2025 NBA draft lottery "rigged"?

May 19, 8:13 PMMay 20, 8:06 PM

9.1%chance

7301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

316

32

Who will win the Amstel Gold Race Ladies Edition (Women) 2026?

Apr 25, 12:21 PMApr 18, 10:59 PM

5191

OptionProbability

Demi Vollering

Puck Pieterse

Other

Lotte Kopecky

👑 Anna van der Breggen

Shirin van Anrooij

Elisa Longo Borghini

Katarzyna Niewiadoma

Cecilie Uttrup Ludwig

Lorena Wiebes

Mischa Bredewold

Évita Muzic

32

21

6

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Will the NFL institute a Draft Lottery to deter teams from tanking to receive the number one pick before the 2033 draft?

Jan 5, 9:35 PMApr 30, 3:59 AM

28.85%chance

8173

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

122

Which team will win the 2026 NBA lottery?

Feb 5, 3:30 PMMay 10, 11:59 PM

375

OptionProbability

Other

Sacramento Kings

New Orleans Pelicans (pick traded to Atlanta Hawks)

Indiana Pacers

Washington Wizards

Utah Jazz

Brooklyn Nets

Dallas Mavericks

16

13

13

12

12

12

12

10

Free Lottery (year)

Feb 7, 6:06 AMFeb 15, 4:59 AM

25%chance

816

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10001

10000

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