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Prediction markets for Love

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Apr 10, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

806436

OptionProbability

Sa Stock

Selena Stock

Alyssa Stock

Other

80

12

7

2

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

Feb 15, 1:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.17%chance

334938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3560

802

Will SBF ever be featured on the show Love During Lockup?

Jan 17, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5%chance

243532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1648

929

Will BasedBeffJezos fall in love, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 2, 11:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.24%chance

22980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3579

279

By 2028, will Aella announce she's in love with an AI boyfriend?

Feb 16, 9:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.41%chance

211500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

833

Will gwern and AellaGirl finally make love?

Jan 7, 9:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.35%chance

181169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1955

862

Will AI "love bots/virtual girlfriends" be good enough to reduce the % of "unwarranted male attention" by 50% by 2027?

Feb 23, 9:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.93%chance

19758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

873

Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?

Jan 7, 9:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.23%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

942

Will "Love stays loved (formerly "Skin")" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 19, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

23.91%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

568

Will Love Bloom on A Battlefield before 2027? (See description)

Aug 4, 5:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.55%chance

256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

65

Will "How I Learned That I Don't Feel Companionate Love" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 13, 11:05 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.92%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

999

Will Alexey guzey and zeynep guzey fall in love or create life (#GuzeyBabby) together?

Jul 7, 4:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.31%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

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