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Prediction markets for Love

Jason Ween Love Stocks: Multi-Stonk Drifting

Apr 10, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

806436

OptionProbability

Sa Stock

Selena Stock

Alyssa Stock

Other

80

12

7

2

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

Feb 15, 1:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.12%chance

324915

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3612

800

Will BasedBeffJezos fall in love, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 2, 11:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.24%chance

22980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3579

279

Will SBF ever be featured on the show Love During Lockup?

Jan 17, 12:55 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.38%chance

242787

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2394

897

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

16.12%chance

112352

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2281

438

By 2028, will Aella announce she's in love with an AI boyfriend?

Feb 16, 9:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.41%chance

211500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

833

Will gwern and AellaGirl finally make love?

Jan 7, 9:00 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.35%chance

181169

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1955

862

Female AI love bot: ChadGPT

Jan 28, 4:28 PMJun 16, 6:59 AM

59.52%chance

19788

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1079

853

Will AI "love bots/virtual girlfriends" be good enough to reduce the % of "unwarranted male attention" by 50% by 2027?

Feb 23, 9:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.93%chance

19758

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1357

873

Will Qiaochu Yuan and AellaGirl make love?

Jan 7, 9:11 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.23%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

942

Will "Love stays loved (formerly "Skin")" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 19, 9:04 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

23.91%chance

3126

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

568

Will "How I Learned That I Don't Feel Companionate Love" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Nov 13, 11:05 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

13.92%chance

228

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1006

999

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