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Prediction markets for Lucid

Will any mass-produced electric car or truck have a range of at least 1000 miles by the end of 2029?

Dec 12, 4:26 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

17.52%chance

7010825

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2339

498

Will Reality Shifting be proven as a real phenomenon before 2070?

Feb 15, 9:39 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

6.06%chance

233123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3255

688

Will AI or other tech be usable by the public to enable lucid dreaming by 2027?

Oct 9, 12:34 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.55%chance

261430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

776

Will an electric vehicle have a range of >1000 miles by 2029?

Jan 14, 6:15 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

23.05%chance

7243

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

40

Will they get me?

Jan 21, 5:03 PMJan 21, 11:59 PM

51.27%chance

7200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

103

97

Will "My hour of memoryless lucidity" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

May 4, 1:44 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

55.41%chance

11176

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

17

will the three largest independent ev manufacturers in the USA still be tesla lucid and rivian at the end of 2027?

Aug 23, 9:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.77%chance

7106

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

Which car manufacturer will be first to create a production car that can achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second

Mar 9, 10:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

870

OptionProbability

Tesla

Porsche

Other

Bugatti

Rimac

Audi

BMW

Chevrolet

Dodge

Ferrari

Honda

Lamborghini

Lucid

McLaren

Mercedes

Nissan

30

12

10

5

5

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

4

Would you consider on-demand lucid dreaming to qualify as Full Dive Virtual Reality?

Jan 10, 3:50 PM

70

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