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LUNA News

    Prediction markets for LUNA

    Who will be elected president in 2028?

    Apr 24, 1:23 AMNov 3, 12:00 AM
    19081569364

    OptionProbability

    J.D. Vance

    Gavin Newsom

    Marco Rubio

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Jon Ossoff

    Donald Trump

    Pete Buttigieg

    No 2028 Election

    Kamala Harris

    Josh Shapiro

    Andy Beshear

    JB Pritzker

    Ted Cruz

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Mark Kelly

    Ruben Gallego

    Rahm Emmanuel

    Andrew Yang

    Ron DeSantis

    Joe Rogan

    Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson

    Amy Klobuchar

    Kanye West

    Hunter Biden

    Mike Pence

    Raphael Warnock

    Jared Polis

    Bernie Sanders

    Greg Abbott

    Nikki Haley

    Stacey Abrams

    Glenn Youngkin

    Elizabeth Warren

    Cory Booker

    Roy Cooper

    Tim Scott

    Mitch Landrieu

    Michelle Lujan Grisham

    Katie Porter

    Joe Biden

    Tucker Carlson

    Ration L. Ussy

    Wes Moore

    Mark Cuban

    Tim Walz

    RFK Jr.

    Tetraspace

    Lina Khan

    Shawn Fain

    Donald Trump Jr

    Elon Musk

    Ritchie Torres

    Taylor Swift

    Barack Obama

    Chris Murphy

    Stephen A. Smith

    Mickey Mouse

    Ivanka Trump

    Barron Trump

    Laura Loomer

    Abigail Spanberger

    Sam Altman

    John Fetterman

    Ro Khanna

    Tulsi Gabbard

    Al Gore

    Kathy Hochul

    [deleted]

    Josh Hawley

    Ezra Klein

    Tim Kaine

    invalid

    Brian Kemp

    David McCormick

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Amaryllis Fox

    AI Overlord

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Duplicate - Will Resolve No

    Mike Johnson

    Steven Bonell (Destiny)

    Jamie Dimon

    Abrego Garcia

    Andrew Cuomo

    Chris Van Hollen

    Invalid

    invalid

    Deval Patrick

    Jasmine Crockett

    Oprah Winfrey

    Michelle Obama

    Sheldon Whitehouse

    Robert Prevost

    Harambe

    Josh Stein

    Jeff Jackson

    Rand Paul

    Vivek Ramaswamy

    Elissa Slotkin

    21

    17

    12

    7

    6

    4

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    What will be true of season 1 of the new Harry Potter reboot series?

    Feb 24, 11:34 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM
    26388905

    OptionProbability

    Ron Weasley is a redhead

    Harry Potter is white

    At least one named character from the book has their race changed

    Snape is black

    An actor who acted in the movies returns for the show

    Harry, Ron, and Hermione’s actors will all be British

    Fred and George are twins irl

    Hagrid is played by an actor who is under 6'4"

    Harry Potter doesn't cast a single spoken, working spell in the first episode

    Dumbledore casts a spell (spoken or wordlessly)

    McGonagall performs an animagus transformation (human2cat or cat2human)

    A character cut from the movies appears (ie Theodore Nott)

    Ron Weasley doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first two episodes

    A History of Magic lesson is shown on screen

    Quirrel is wearing a head covering when Harry first meets him

    Premieres in 2027

    Malfoy has white blonde hair

    There’s a scene set before Harry is born

    JK Rowling is credited as both an executive producer and original writer

    The potion riddle guarding the Stone will be featured

    Peeves is a reoccurring character

    It's woke

    Cornelius Fudge is shown on screen

    A scene depicts Voldemort trying to kill baby Harry

    Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 2

    mandrake root on screen

    Hermione’s parent(s) shown on screen

    80% or higher on rotten tomatoes

    Arthur Weasley is shown on screen

    Homosexual interaction between some characters will be presented

    Hagrid says "You’re a wizard, Harry"

    Hermione is white

    Luna Lovegood, Cho Chang, or Cedric Diggory are mentioned by first or last name, or are in the credits

    A house elf is shown on screen

    Premieres on strongly symbolic date (like July 31, 21.12)

    Arabella Figg is mentioned by first or last name

    It will be torrentfreak.com's "Most Pirated" TV show for its year of release or the following year

    The Quibbler is shown or mentioned

    At least one named character from the book has their gender swapped

    Hagrid ties Vernon’s gun into a knot

    An actor who appeared in any of the Jackass films receives a credit on IMDB related to the show

    Goblins are still represented as anti-semitic caricatures

    It ends on a cliff hanger

    The Weasley's Ford Anglia is seen flying

    An Astronomy lesson is shown on screen

    "Voldemort" has a silent "t"

    The Flying Ford Anglia is seen.

    Harry first sees Hogwarts castle in episode 3

    Hagrid presents a cake with writing on it to Harry and the writing has no misspellings

    Harry visits Diagon Alley in episode 1

    Harry visits Platform 9 3/4 in episode 1

    At least one of the actors is transgender

    VOLDEMORT HAS A NOSE

    Dobby makes an appearance

    Harry only reaches Hogwarts in the last 10 minutes of the first episode

    The intro theme song will have at least one obvious English word

    Premieres in 2026

    Harry is shown holding more than three different wands at Ollivander’s

    90% or higher on rotten tomatoes

    Any Harry Potter fanfic is referenced (either explicitly as judged by market creator, or confirmed by someone who works on the show)

    Quirrel shakes Harry’s hand during their first meeting

    Harry Potter doesn't cast a single, spoken, working spell in the first three episode

    We see a wizarding school other than Hogwarts

    Features an explicitly transgender character

    JK Rowling makes a cameo appearance

    Hagrid is played by an actor with a cognitive disability

    Hermione is black

    Hermione is Indian

    Zendaya is cast in the show

    Smartphone shown within Hogwarts

    Awkwafina is cast in the show

    Voldemort is a woman

    There will be seven CGI dwarves

    set in 2025

    set in the 2020s

    Rita Skeeter will have an explicit trans identity

    Keir Starmer is in it

    Yudkowsky makes an appearance

    Harry, Ron, and Hermione will all be transgender

    We get AGI before it premieres

    HPMOR is referenced

    Hagrid is black

    Gandalf is black

    Adolf Hitler is mentioned

    Fred and George have the same actor

    One or more of Hermione, Ron, and Harry have their genders swapped.

    99

    98

    97

    97

    95

    95

    95

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    94

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    91

    90

    88

    85

    84

    83

    83

    78

    78

    74

    74

    73

    66

    65

    65

    64

    63

    63

    63

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    59

    57

    55

    55

    53

    52

    45

    42

    42

    35

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    27

    27

    26

    25

    25

    25

    24

    23

    22

    21

    20

    20

    20

    15

    14

    13

    12

    11

    10

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    1

    Which players will be submitted for the US Men's 2026 World Cup Roster

    Mar 13, 7:43 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM
    134793

    OptionProbability

    Christian Pulisic

    Folarin Balogun

    Chris Richards

    Weston McKennie

    Matt Freese

    Antonee Robinson

    Malik Tillman

    Tyler Adams

    Sergiño Dest

    Diego Luna

    Alex Freeman

    Timothy Weah

    Tanner Tessmann

    Matt Turner

    Haji Wright

    Gio Reyna

    Miles Robinson

    Brenden Aaronson

    Mark McKenzie

    Tim Ream

    Joe Scally

    Aidan Morris

    Johnny Cardoso

    Max Arfsten

    Patrick Schulte

    Cameron Carter-Vickers

    Ricardo Pepi

    Cristian Roldan

    Roman Celentano

    Auston Trusty

    Sean Zawadzki

    Jack McGlynn

    John Tolkin

    Timmy Tillman

    Sebastian Berhalter

    Patrick Agyemang

    Alejandro Zendejas

    Quinn Sullivan

    Josh Sargent

    Zack Steffen

    Paxten Aaronson

    Djordje Mihailovic

    Kellyn Acosta

    Yunus Musah

    Jordan Morris

    Paul Arriola

    Kristoffer Lund

    Walker Zimmerman

    Tristan Blackmon

    Drake Callender

    Brian White

    Marlon Fossey

    Luca de la Torre

    Jesús Ferreira

    Brandon Vázquez

    Sean Johnson

    Shaq Moore

    Daryl Dike

    Cade Cowell

    Emmanuel Sabbi

    Mauricio Cuevas

    James Sands

    Ethan Horvath

    Damion Downs

    Jonathan Klinsmann

    Lucho Acosta

    Taha Habroune

    DeAndre Yedlin

    Julian Gressel

    96

    89

    86

    85

    84

    83

    81

    79

    77

    75

    74

    71

    71

    70

    69

    68

    59

    58

    56

    56

    54

    53

    52

    52

    50

    49

    47

    45

    45

    43

    34

    32

    31

    28

    28

    26

    25

    24

    23

    22

    22

    21

    18

    17

    15

    15

    13

    12

    11

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    10

    9

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    8

    8

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    7

    6

    6

    6

    5

    5

    4

    4

    Which public figures will declare they believe aliens have been hidden by the US government?

    Oct 20, 9:35 AMJan 1, 10:23 AM
    142198

    OptionProbability

    Harald Malmgren

    Steven Greer

    Daniel Sheehan

    Beatrix Villarroel

    Curt Jaimungal

    Jesse Michels

    Danny Jones

    Eric Weinstein

    Kevin Knuth

    Gary Nolan

    Joe Rogan

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Eric Burlison

    Leonard Susskind

    Stephen Wolfram

    Robert Kennedy Jr.

    Robin Hanson

    Balaji Srinivasan

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Lex Fridman

    Donald Trump

    Liv Boeree

    Elon Musk

    Max Tegmark

    Aella

    Nate Silver

    Peter Thiel

    Patrick McKenzie

    Bernie Sanders

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Barack Obama

    100

    95

    95

    90

    90

    90

    90

    88

    88

    88

    85

    76

    76

    76

    72

    63

    55

    53

    53

    52

    46

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    43

    35

    32

    26

    17

    17

    11

    8

    6

    Will Maya Luna get deported in the next 4 years

    Mar 13, 10:03 PMFeb 29, 4:59 AM
    15.79%chance
    61424

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    231

    43

    Where will the first crewed Starship landing happen?

    Dec 16, 4:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
    81374

    OptionProbability

    Luna (Earth's Moon)

    Cape Canaveral, Florida (any pad)

    Boca Chica, Texas, Pad A (east pad)

    Boca Chica, Texas, Pab B (west pad)

    Vandenberg Space Force Base, California (any pad)

    Ocean platform (any site)

    Other

    Mars

    65

    13

    6

    6

    3

    3

    3

    2

    Who will be the 49th US President?

    Jan 1, 10:00 PMJul 1, 11:12 AM
    231013

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Pete Buttigieg

    Dan Crenshaw

    Marco Rubio

    Ron DeSantis

    Other

    Nicholas J. Fuentes (God help us all)

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Kamala Harris

    Nikki Haley

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Raphael Warnock

    Josh Shapiro

    Donald Trump

    Nobody

    Elizabeth Warren

    Beto O'Rourke

    Mike Pence

    Ted Cruz

    Eric Garcetti

    Jon Ossoff

    Maxwell Frost

    Anna Paulina Luna

    Greg Casar

    Colin Allred

    50

    12

    10

    9

    5

    4

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Will Luna 26 be launched in 2027 ?

    Aug 20, 12:39 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM
    6.64%chance
    7357

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    427

    97

    Will Luna 26 be launched in 2027 or earlier?

    Aug 20, 12:45 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM
    11.09%chance
    8281

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    380

    114

    [Hololive 4th Generation] Which talent will leave Hololive last?

    Jan 23, 9:41 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    3248

    OptionProbability

    Tsunomaki Watame

    Tokoyami Towa

    Himemori Luna

    Amane Kanata

    41

    29

    29

    1

    Will Roscosmos's Luna 27 mission successfully land on the moon?

    Sep 16, 2:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    37%chance
    7169

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    176

    130

    What TLD will the first moonbase use?

    Feb 16, 1:58 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
    255

    OptionProbability

    .moon

    .com

    Other

    .cn

    .yue

    .luna

    27

    24

    24

    13

    6

    5

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