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Prediction markets for Lunar

Will at least half of lunar landers launched in 2025 successfuly land?

Feb 27, 1:25 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

1.5%chance

2220980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18244

455

Will there be a lunar base by the end of 2029?

Nov 20, 3:30 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

10.24%chance

668423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1830

852

Will there be a space elevator before 2060? Earth or Lunar

Sep 20, 4:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.27%chance

132319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

675

Will SpaceX deliver the next set of human astronauts to the lunar surface?

Jan 10, 2:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.7%chance

211873

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1397

490

Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2027?

Dec 29, 11:23 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

75.31%chance

211736

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1263

878

Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2028?

Dec 29, 2:38 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

81.87%chance

181349

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1229

918

A Martian colony will exist before a Lunar one

Feb 6, 10:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.99%chance

211071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1077

942

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

962

Will CNSA construct a manned lunar base before 2040?

Sep 23, 2:28 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

50%chance

10464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1027

962

In the year 2100, will construction have begun on a lunar space elevator?

Aug 6, 9:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.88%chance

23451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

944

Will NASA's moon time zone be named "Coordinated Lunar Time (LTC)"?

Apr 22, 3:48 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

67.7%chance

17323

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

983

Will there be a lunar particle accelerator by the beginning of 2050?

Nov 15, 7:04 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

21.28%chance

16257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1125

947

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