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Prediction markets for M1

World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)

May 22, 2:13 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

64.03%chance

3014622

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13282

8380

Which of these will successfully land on the Moon in 2025?

Jan 13, 9:15 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

2614314

OptionProbability

Blue Ghost M1

IM-2

Griffin Mission 1

Beresheet 2

IM-3

Blue Moon MK1

Starship HLS

Hakuto-R 2

100

100

1

1

1

1

1

0

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

7011132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2504

796

What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? (M1000 subsidy)

Dec 11, 7:17 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

318669

OptionProbability

$400–800 billion

$800 billion – $1.6 trillion

$200–400 billion

$100–200 billion

$1.6–3.2 trillion

$50–100 billion

>$3.2 trillion

<$25 billion

$25–50 billion

44

22

15

6

5

3

2

1

1

[M100 sub] Will there be a well-reviewed video game with LLM-based NPC dialogue by 2026 (no mods)?

Sep 28, 9:56 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

13.81%chance

465878

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2302

388

[M1500 Subsidy] By when will a government release a virus as an attack?

Apr 29, 7:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

184371

OptionProbability

2034

2029

2027

2026

2025

12

10

8

7

5

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.05%chance

401124

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2134

2104

Will Poland use its M1 Abrams tanks in combat?

Aug 19, 11:16 AMApr 2, 9:59 PM

67.45%chance

15391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

230

44

What is my favorite classical song? (M100 prize)

Nov 29, 1:23 AMDec 29, 1:20 AM

4274

OptionProbability

Kodaly Cello Sonata Op.8

Other

Shostakovich Waltz no. 2

Für Elise

Mozart’s Lacrimosa

78

9

5

4

4

Will M1 Macs receive the longest mainline support of any model since the switch to Mac OS X?

Oct 20, 4:33 AMNov 17, 12:59 PM

85.21%chance

270

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

21

free m1 just put any text u want as a coment.

Nov 14, 4:40 AM

00

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