OptionProbability
Gemini 3.x Flash-Lite
GPT-5.x
Gemini 3.x Flash
Qwen 3.6 (or any Qwen model)
Gemini 3.x Pro
Minimax M3 (or any Minimax model)
GLM-5.2 (or any GLM model)
Claude Sonnet 4.7 (or 4.x variant)
Kimi K3 (or any Kimi model)
Any Grok Model
Meta Mango (or any Meta model)
Claude Haiku 4.6 (or 4.x variant)
Claude Opus 4.8 (or 4.x variant)
Claude Opus 5
GPT-6
Claude Sonnet 5
Claude Mythos (or any variant)
100
91
84
82
78
59
54
53
42
25
17
10
8
6
NO
YES
4576
2499
Before December 2026
Before November 2026
Before September 2026
Before October 2026
Before August 2026
Before July 2026
Before June 2026
Before March 2026
Before April 2026
Before May 2026
87
83
80
71
62
36
0
2027
2028
Jul-Sep 2026
Oct-Dec 2026
Mar-Jun 2026
2029
2030
2031-2035
2036+
34
22
16
4
