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Prediction markets for MacBooks

Apple releases a touchscreen Macbook by the end of 2026?

Dec 9, 3:20 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

14.26%chance

1118979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4518

468

Will apple announce a MacBook with a foldable display by EOY 2025?

May 24, 5:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.03%chance

418602

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8150

232

Will Apple release a MacBook with LLM integration built in, by 2025 end?

Apr 1, 6:10 PMDec 31, 6:29 PM

14.56%chance

507422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3097

455

When will Asahi Linux be ready enough for me to take a Zoom call on a 2023 MacBook Pro?

Jan 26, 2:58 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

136055

OptionProbability

Not before 2026

July 1 - September 30 2025

April 1 - June 30 2025

October 1 - December 31 2025

January 1 - March 31 2025

October 1 - December 31 2024

Before April 2024

April 1 - June 30 2024

July 1 - September 30 2024

36

18

16

13

10

3

1

1

1

What will be true of Apple’s rumored A-chip Macbook?

Jun 30, 3:48 PMMay 1, 3:41 PM

152729

OptionProbability

It will cost <= US $800

It will be available in at least two non-monochromatic colors

It will run MacOS

It will cost <= $700

It will have a screen smaller than 13"

It will have the same dimensions, weight and screen as the M4 MacBook Air.

It will have no more than 8gb RAM.

It will be called iBook

90

83

82

62

39

33

24

17

If I get rid of my old macbook, will I regret it within 15 years?

Dec 16, 7:40 AMDec 16, 7:38 AM

15.59%chance

121731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2327

430

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Apple to release MacBook with touchscreen by 2026?

Oct 18, 10:52 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

14.13%chance

8806

OptionVotes

YES

NO

275

72

When will Apple replace Google as the default search engine on Safari? (iPhone or MacBook)

Feb 5, 3:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

16802

OptionProbability

later than 2028 / never

before the end of 2028

before the end of 2027

before the end of 2026

before the end of 2025

before the end of 2024

67

42

40

24

9

0

Will a Macbook Pro be released with an OLED screen by the end of 2025?

Jul 10, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.85%chance

12596

OptionVotes

YES

NO

506

19

Will any Macbook have >=24 CPU cores before 2030?

Oct 27, 12:00 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

46.91%chance

6554

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1064

940

Will Apple release a 20" Macbook by the end of 2026?

Mar 8, 4:49 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

15.02%chance

5180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

319

70

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