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Prediction markets for Macron

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.74%chance

9431761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4066

649

Who will be the next president of France after Macron?

Feb 7, 10:27 AMFeb 7, 7:59 PM

9722431

OptionProbability

Jordan Bardella

Édouard Philippe

Gabriel Attal

Other

Sébastien Lecornu

Marine Le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Olivier Faure

Bernard Cazeneuve

Éric Zemmour

Dominique de Villepin

Sarah Knafo

François Ruffin

Bruno Retailleau

Raphaël Glucksmann

Emmanuel Macron

François Fillon

Laurent Wauquiez

Bruno Le Maire

François Bayrou

Gérald Darmanin

Nathalie Arthaud

Someone not on this list

Élisabeth Borne

Gérard Larcher

Christine Lagarde

Rachida Dati

Marine Tondelier

25

13

12

10

8

6

5

5

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Emmanuel Macron ever become President of France again after his first two terms?

May 12, 1:59 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

13.38%chance

243964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1116

953

Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?

Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4.53%chance

303949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2190

875

If a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?

Mar 27, 1:43 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM

64.95%chance

272815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

991

945

Will Macron's english wikipedia article mention the 2025 apparent domestic violence incident by mid 2026

Jun 2, 6:02 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

10.6%chance

152239

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2904

344

Will Emmanuel Macron resign before the end of his term?

Dec 2, 6:45 PMJun 1, 9:59 PM

8.96%chance

212084

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1560

406

France changes Prime Minister before Macron's term ends?

May 29, 6:13 AMMay 1, 3:59 AM

99.22%chance

112063

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

9

Will Emmanuel Macron publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?

Mar 19, 12:52 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.16%chance

12696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

374

190

Will Macron begin a third term as President of France before 2038?

Jul 4, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.88%chance

9416

OptionVotes

YES

NO

260

38

Est ce que Macron démissionnera en 2026

Dec 21, 7:27 PMMar 30, 10:59 PM

4.73%chance

8357

OptionVotes

YES

NO

364

72

Emmanuel Macron Stock (Permanent)

Mar 27, 6:59 PMAug 11, 9:43 PM

11192

OptionProbability

NO

YES

210

209

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