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Madison News

    Prediction markets for Madison

    Tennis players to win at least one Grand Slam tournament (singles) in 2025?

    Sep 2, 6:21 PMSep 30, 8:59 PM
    3312720

    OptionProbability

    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jannik Sinner

    ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Carlos Alcaraz

    ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Coco Gauff

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Madison Keys

    Aryna Sabalenka

    ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Novak Djokovic

    ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina

    ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Alexander Zverev

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Elina Svitolina

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Taylor Fritz

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Amanda Anisimova

    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini

    Daniil Medvedev

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    34

    11

    9

    6

    5

    5

    4

    3

    2

    Tennis player(s) to win the most Grand Slam tournaments (singles) in 2025?

    Sep 2, 6:28 PMSep 30, 8:59 PM
    289309

    OptionProbability

    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jannik Sinner

    ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Carlos Alcaraz

    ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Coco Gauff

    Madison Keys

    ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Novak Djokovic

    ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Alexander Zverev

    Daniil Medvedev

    Aryna Sabalenka

    ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina

    Other

    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini

    68

    16

    5

    4

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    Which mixed doubles pairs will reach the US Open Tennis semifinals?

    Jul 9, 11:44 PMAug 20, 11:16 PM
    94909

    OptionProbability

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Jessica Pegula + ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Tommy Paul (7)

    ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Zheng Qinwen + ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Jack Draper (2)

    ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Emma Raducanu + ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Carlos Alcaraz (Wild Card 1)

    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jasmine Paolini + ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Lorenzo Musetti (4)

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Emma Navarro + ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Jannik Sinner (1)

    ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Amanda Anisimova + ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฐ Holger Rune (5)

    ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Sara Errani + ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น Andrea Vavassori (Wild Card 5)

    ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญBelinda Bencic + ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Alexander Zverev (6)

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Venus Williams + ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Reilly Opelka (Wild Card 6)

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Taylor Townsend + ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Ben Shelton (Wild Card 4)

    ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Elena Rybakina + ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Taylor Fritz (4)

    ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Mirra Andreeva + ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Daniil Medvedev (8)

    ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Madison Keys + ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Frances Tiafoe (Wild Card 2)

    ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Iga Swiatek + ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Casper Ruud (3)

    ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Paula Badosa + ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ท Stefanos Tsitsipas (10)

    ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Olga Danilovic + ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ Novak Djokovic (Wild Card 3)

    ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Naomi Osaka + ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Nick Kyrgios (16)

    ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Aryna Sabalenka + ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Grigor Dimitrov (8)

    77

    76

    73

    72

    68

    37

    27

    26

    20

    13

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    0

    What colleges will I be accepted to, given I apply?

    Jul 10, 11:28 PMSep 1, 11:09 PM
    162891

    OptionProbability

    University of Illinois (note: i live in town and my dad is a professor)

    UW Madison

    University of Michigan

    University of Southern California

    Harvey mudd college

    Northwestern (new addition!)

    UCLA

    Cornell (new addition!)

    Carnegie Mellon University

    Stanford

    University of chicago

    MIT (new addition!)

    Princeton

    85

    79

    61

    49

    44

    41

    37

    29

    25

    16

    14

    14

    11

    Which US city will have the highest quality of life in 2030? [see description]

    Jan 20, 9:18 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    402829

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Raleigh, NC

    Austin, TX

    Madison, WI

    Seattle, WA

    Jacksonville, FL

    Portland, OR

    Tampa, FL

    Orlando, FL

    Charlotte, NC

    Albuquerque, NM

    Boise, ID

    San Diego, CA

    Denver, CO

    Boston, MA

    Atlanta, GA

    Columbus, OH

    Kansas City, MO

    San Antonio, TX

    Detroit, MI

    Spokane, WA

    34

    6

    6

    6

    6

    5

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    Which of Zvi's favorite NYC restaurants and bakeries will close by 1 Feb 2028?

    Jan 2, 4:25 PMFeb 9, 4:59 AM
    111654

    OptionProbability

    Tortaria

    Hunan Bistro

    Joe's Pizza (14th + 3rd)

    Mighty Quinn's BBQ (13th and 7th)

    Hill Country

    Carlotto

    Dominic Ansel Workshop

    BLT Prime (74th + Lexington)

    Brooklyn Bagel & Coffee Company (25th + 8th)

    Thai Villa

    Bhatti Indian Grill

    Brindle Room

    Osteria Morini

    Il Buco Alimentari & Vineria

    Tao Downtown

    Strip House (44th + 5th)

    Keste Pizza

    Magnolia Bakery (Bleecker Street)

    Joe and Pat's NYC (10th + 1st)

    Bourke Street Bakery (28th + Madison)

    Prince Street Pizza

    Dominic Ansel Kitchen

    Au Za'atar

    Rezdora

    Da Umberto

    Casa Mono

    Xi'an's Famous Foods (15th and 8th)

    The Donut Pub (both locations must close)

    Dos Toros (two closest locations must close)

    Scarpetta

    Via Carota

    Fogo De Chao (53rd Street)

    The Halal Guys (14th + 2nd)

    Japonica

    Fiaschetteria "Pistoia" (both locations must close)

    Eataly (23rd Street + 6th Avenue)

    Naya (four closest locations must close)

    Katz's Delicatessen

    Shake Shack (OG in Madison Square Park)

    98

    98

    73

    52

    48

    46

    31

    30

    29

    29

    29

    29

    28

    28

    28

    28

    28

    28

    28

    28

    27

    27

    27

    26

    26

    26

    26

    24

    24

    21

    21

    21

    21

    20

    19

    18

    18

    16

    12

    Madison Square Garden stock

    May 2, 2:56 AMMay 2, 3:59 AM
    121001

    OptionProbability

    NO

    YES

    171

    168

    Which Coaches Are Out In The Sun Belt Conference? Coaching Carousel 2025-26

    Jun 6, 9:29 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM
    2360

    OptionProbability

    Appalachian State - Dowell Loggains

    Coastal Carolina - Tim Beck

    Georgia Southern - Clay Helton

    Georgia State - Dell McGee

    James Madison - Bob Chesney

    Marshall - Tony Gibson

    Old Dominion - Ricky Rahne

    Arkansas State - Butch Jones

    Louisiana - Michael Desormeaux

    South Alabama - Major Applewhite

    Southern Miss - Charles Huff

    Texas State - G. J. Kinne

    Troy - Gerad Parker

    Louisianaโ€“Monroe - Bryant Vincent

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    35

    President Stocks - J Edition

    Nov 7, 1:34 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM
    8347

    OptionProbability

    Joe Biden

    John F. Kennedy

    John Adams

    John Tyler

    Jimmy Carter

    James Madison

    James Monroe

    James A. Garfield

    John Quincy Adams

    James K. Polk

    James Buchanan

    22

    18

    14

    10

    7

    6

    6

    5

    4

    4

    4

    What company will Amazon buy next for at least $1B?

    Aug 5, 5:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    10269

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Rivian

    Peloton

    Cloostermans

    GoPro

    Nokia

    Oscar Health

    Wayfair

    ADT

    NYT

    Madison Square Garden

    Overstock

    Nextdoor

    UPS

    Babylon Health

    Signify Health

    Gamestop

    China

    Apple

    The Catholic Church

    Wallgreens

    Chili's Grill and Bar

    a pile of dirty socks

    50

    36

    7

    3

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which girl will win Perfect Match?

    Aug 3, 4:31 PMSep 2, 4:29 PM
    150

    OptionProbability

    Alex

    Amber "AD"

    Lucy

    Madison

    Rachel

    Sandy

    Other

    Juliette

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    13

    6

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