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Prediction markets for MAG

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2025 Person of the Year?

Dec 6, 1:02 PMDec 11, 7:59 AM

541240775

OptionProbability

Robert Prevost / Pope Leo XIV

[Any variation of Artificial Intelligence]

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Benjamin Netanyahu

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Vladimir Putin

Elon Musk

[Any variation of "The Victims of War"]

[Any variation of "The Courts"]

[Any variation of "Trump Prosecutors"]

Beyonce

Gavin Newsom

AOC

33

22

22

7

4

3

2

2

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky appear on the cover of any of these magazines before 2028?

Jul 13, 11:37 AMJan 2, 12:30 PM

47.67%chance

8713481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

916

Will AI beat top Magic the Gathering human player before the end of 2028?

Mar 3, 11:11 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30%chance

628815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

341

Will anyone top Magnus Carlsen's peak ELO of 2882 by the end of 2026?

Dec 7, 11:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

8.24%chance

405630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4682

474

Is it better for battery health to charge new M1 Macbooks via Magsafe rather than USB-C?

May 19, 12:11 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.07%chance

211238

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1877

1353

Will a magazine publish a +8000 word piece about the Silicon Valley Bank saga?

Mar 13, 9:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.74%chance

16966

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1365

444

will magic be real before i die

Dec 21, 5:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.62%chance

15820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1395

444

Will the Magic: The Gathering reserved list be removed or broken before 2030?

Mar 11, 4:40 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.56%chance

17811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1053

967

Will Ashiok, Wicked Manipulator's record be broken for most text on a recent Magic card before 2026?

Sep 30, 6:34 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

56.78%chance

15427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

678

Will there be a mag-lev train using ambient-temperature superconductivity by Jan 1st 2030?

Aug 1, 5:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.47%chance

8398

OptionVotes

YES

NO

220

95

Immersed Visor: Will be reviewed at 4+/5 by PC Mag?

Mar 25, 6:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.1%chance

8255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

418

396

Will the BTC Ordinal collection Labitbus stay #1 on Magic Eden for the entire month of August 2025?

Aug 5, 6:57 AMSep 4, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

Other

33

33

33

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