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Prediction markets for Magnite

World GDP grows by an order of magnitude in 10 years?

Mar 24, 3:41 PMMar 24, 3:34 PM

8.16%chance

193206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3355

298

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM

82.25%chance

201561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1984

623

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:00 PMJan 12, 10:00 PM

181516

OptionProbability

Fiji Region

Japan

Other

United States

Mexico

Russia

Chile

Turkiye

Morocco

Afghanistan

Indonesia

China

New Zealand

Ethiopia

Nepal

Philippines

Peru

Colombia

Guatemala

Sweden

Vanuatu

Qatar

72

59

50

42

37

34

20

13

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

8

8

8

6

6

4

Will there be an earthquake of at least 5.5 Magnitude on Cinco de Mayo 2026? (May 5)

May 5, 2:05 PMMay 6, 11:59 PM

34.52%chance

151016

OptionVotes

YES

NO

138

73

When will the next earthquake that is greater than magnitude 9.0 and japan seismic intensity scale reach 7 hit japan?

Aug 16, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

16826

OptionProbability

2025-2034

2035-2044

2045-2054

2055-2064

2065 or later

Other

2023-2024

41

33

11

6

5

4

1

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Oct 21, 8:48 PMOct 29, 3:59 AM

24.21%chance

16737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

650

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

T Coronae Borealis reaches magnitude 5.0 before April 10th, 2026?

Dec 31, 6:18 PMApr 10, 11:59 PM

6.59%chance

9343

OptionVotes

YES

NO

354

58

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

May 2, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.86%chance

10257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

236

74

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Mar 25, 8:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.72%chance

12240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

955

What will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?

Jan 11, 9:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2192

OptionProbability

Up to 4.5

5.6 to 6.0

4.6 to 5.0

5.1 to 5.5

More than 6.1

Other

24

24

19

19

12

2

Will the Cascadia Subduction Zone experience a earthquake of magnitude at least 8.0 before 2073?

Jun 22, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.65%chance

595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

69

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