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Prediction markets for Magnite

World GDP grows by an order of magnitude in 10 years?

Mar 24, 3:41 PMMar 24, 3:34 PM

8.16%chance

193206

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3355

298

Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:00 PMJan 12, 10:00 PM

131248

OptionProbability

Fiji Region

Japan

Other

Russia

United States

Turkiye

Morocco

Afghanistan

Indonesia

China

Mexico

New Zealand

Sweden

Ethiopia

Nepal

Philippines

Chile

Peru

Colombia

Guatemala

Vanuatu

Qatar

83

59

50

34

17

13

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

10

8

8

8

8

6

5

Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?

Jan 9, 10:59 AMJan 10, 4:59 AM

78.51%chance

171006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1723

686

When will the next earthquake that is greater than magnitude 9.0 and japan seismic intensity scale reach 7 hit japan?

Aug 16, 3:23 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

16826

OptionProbability

2025-2034

2035-2044

2045-2054

2055-2064

2065 or later

Other

2023-2024

41

33

11

6

5

4

1

Will the Cascadia megaearthquake (magnitude 8.0 or above) in the Pacific NW happen by 2035?

Oct 21, 8:48 PMOct 29, 3:59 AM

24.21%chance

16737

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1045

650

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?

May 2, 2:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.33%chance

13618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

174

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

NO

293

34

Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?

May 2, 3:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.4%chance

9256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

247

73

Will the sex difference in the general factor of anxiety be of the same magnitude as the sex difference in anxiety?

Mar 25, 8:59 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

73.72%chance

12240

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1081

955

Will there be an earthquake of magnitude >6.0 in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by the end of 2026?

Mar 1, 4:29 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

10.41%chance

5236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

338

50

Will the Cascadia Subduction Zone experience a earthquake of magnitude at least 8.0 before 2073?

Jun 22, 5:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.65%chance

595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

69

T Coronae Borealis reaches magnitude 5.0 before April 10th, 2026?

Dec 31, 6:18 PMApr 10, 11:59 PM

31.03%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

97

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