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Prediction markets for Major Crime Unit

How much time will Jair Bolsonaro spend in jail (not house arrest) by Dec 31, 2031?

Sep 12, 1:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

113566

OptionProbability

1+ days

30+ days

180+ days

365+ days

730+ days

1825+ days

0 days

100

100

74

69

53

41

0

Will something CRAZY happen due to the Anthropic/DoD situation?

Feb 27, 7:05 PMMar 29, 6:03 PM

16.2%chance

182651

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

62

Trump sends uniformed military to polling stations during 2026 midterm elections?

Dec 12, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.47%chance

181532

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1625

615

Will Tucker Carlson be arrested in 2026?

Mar 15, 3:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.57%chance

13403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

276

36

Will Federal Agents draw guns on voters on Election Day 2026

Mar 21, 10:56 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

17%chance

6171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

Will 50 Cent make another documentary about Diddy/Other celebrities?

Jan 10, 7:59 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

29.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

169

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