Mako News

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.06%chance

13443680

OptionVotes

YES

1644

642

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Jun 21, 5:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

4.64%chance

3110493

OptionVotes

YES

3758

678

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

10.29%chance

121771

OptionVotes

YES

327

182

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

38.47%chance

231125

OptionVotes

YES

1096

794

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.72%chance

33919

OptionVotes

YES

1576

917

When will serious deployment of Solar Radiation Management (climate intervention) begin?

Jul 8, 3:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

9840

OptionProbability

It wont be done, or warming will be resolved by other means before it's ever done

2025

2024

2029

2026

2027

2028

2030

2023

Will Holochain hold up under the stress of serious use?

Apr 30, 3:32 AMJan 1, 10:59 AM

79%chance

7588

OptionVotes

YES

205

164

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will the Bonfire social network project surmount its performance problems before it's too late?

Jan 9, 11:30 PMApr 1, 10:59 AM

53.89%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

Dec 3, 2:41 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

52.99%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

112

108

Does the MEGA Drive work?

Jun 10, 12:44 AMMay 15, 11:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Prediction markets for Mako

Prediction markets for Mako

Prediction markets for Mako

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

When will serious deployment of Solar Radiation Management (climate intervention) begin?

Will Holochain hold up under the stress of serious use?

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Will the Bonfire social network project surmount its performance problems before it's too late?

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

Does the MEGA Drive work?

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