Mako News

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.66%chance

10328174

OptionVotes

YES

1287

791

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Jun 21, 5:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

4.64%chance

3110493

OptionVotes

YES

3758

678

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Feb 24, 7:17 AMJun 30, 12:01 PM

3.26%chance

182491

OptionVotes

YES

2795

854

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

13.3%chance

121701

OptionVotes

YES

257

191

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

43.19%chance

211000

OptionVotes

YES

1165

694

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

30818

OptionVotes

YES

1515

922

Who will be the successor to Elon Musk at Tesla?

Jan 16, 12:46 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM

8234

OptionProbability

Other

Tom Zhu

Me!

Drew Baglino

Vaibhav Taneja

JB Straubel

Zachary Kirkhorn

Robyn Denholm

Omead Afshar

Ashok Elluswamy

Will Elon Musk's accusation against Substack turn out to be true?

Apr 18, 7:23 PMDec 31, 6:23 PM

20.75%chance

9189

OptionVotes

YES

261

Will DIY Gene Drive happen?

Jan 11, 6:22 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM

33.63%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Aug 20, 8:00 AMJun 26, 11:59 AM

30.88%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

150

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

Dec 3, 2:41 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

52.99%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

112

108

Mako News

Prediction markets for Mako

Prediction markets for Mako

Prediction markets for Mako

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Who will be the successor to Elon Musk at Tesla?

Will Elon Musk's accusation against Substack turn out to be true?

Will DIY Gene Drive happen?

Will the AT Protocol (bluesky) end up being used as a distributed ledger?

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

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