Mako News

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Jun 21, 5:36 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

4.92%chance

3110485

OptionVotes

YES

3583

686

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Dec 3, 6:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.73%chance

648955

OptionVotes

YES

1423

726

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

232894

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Brave Browser

Anytype

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

Flutter

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

X.com

roblox

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Feb 24, 7:17 AMJun 30, 12:01 PM

3.22%chance

172490

OptionVotes

YES

2825

853

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Apr 28, 9:34 PMMay 1, 11:59 AM

19.4%chance

121621

OptionVotes

YES

207

177

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Feb 15, 9:48 PMApr 9, 11:59 AM

43.19%chance

211000

OptionVotes

YES

1165

694

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Jan 19, 6:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7%chance

30818

OptionVotes

YES

1515

922

Who will be the successor to Elon Musk at Tesla?

Jan 16, 12:46 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM

8234

OptionProbability

Other

Tom Zhu

Me!

Drew Baglino

Vaibhav Taneja

JB Straubel

Zachary Kirkhorn

Robyn Denholm

Omead Afshar

Ashok Elluswamy

Will DIY Gene Drive happen?

Jan 11, 6:22 AMApr 1, 10:59 AM

33.63%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

119

Will the Bonfire social network project surmount its performance problems before it's too late?

Jan 9, 11:30 PMApr 1, 10:59 AM

53.89%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

Dec 3, 2:41 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

52.99%chance

426

OptionVotes

YES

112

108

Does the MEGA Drive work?

Jun 10, 12:44 AMMay 15, 11:59 AM

45.39%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Mako News

Prediction markets for Mako

Prediction markets for Mako

Prediction markets for Mako

Could Fermat have had a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem?

Will Tesla provide (or be included in) an autonomous ride-hailing service before the end of 2026

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Does Exodus Propulsion's propellantless drive work?

Will Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?

Will Twitter surpass YouTube as a video platform by 2030?

Who will be the successor to Elon Musk at Tesla?

Will DIY Gene Drive happen?

Will the Bonfire social network project surmount its performance problems before it's too late?

Will there be, or has there been an instance of "Habituation" in a p2p network

Does the MEGA Drive work?

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